Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x121a7f5410cf513d7582cb07ab2b71a8043c60fb4a22a1ba54c9db8e1dd92b07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x157e…b995backed Yes | 1c | 1,774$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 14c | 1,176$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.18 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,001$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 4c | 832.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 17c | 623.62$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…758dbacked Yes | 14c | 599.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 80c | 500.07$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.37 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 28c | 399.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 19c | 395.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1824…571abacked Yes | 16c | 387.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 78c | 351.32$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…bcccbacked Yes | 25c | 347.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 147 | 25.2%37 W · 110 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 77c | 343.69$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 26c | 321.27$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 9c | 313.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 24c | 281.82$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd248…5551backed No | 77c | 259.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…5a3ebacked Yes | 23c | 249.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3963…6c32backed Yes | 5c | 238.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6313…1db9backed Yes | 16c | 236.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 25c | 209.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…2ad4backed Yes | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 122 | 28.7%35 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 80c | 182.95$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 78c | 169.64$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 21c | 160$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…e2f4backed Yes | 26c | 151.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 76c | 148.69$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 16c | 148.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 78c | 144.82$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 10c | 134.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…98d0backed Yes | 21c | 134.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 22c | 132.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 19c | 129.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed Yes | 18c | 127.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…cdeebacked Yes | 24c | 125.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa612…476abacked Yes | 17c | 121.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 16c | 118.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…a5f2backed Yes | 15c | 113.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a1…a85ebacked No | 76c | 111.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 76c | 108.4$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e6…ab8abacked Yes | 28c | 107.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 17c | 107.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9840backed Yes | 28c | 107.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 22c | 99.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 79c | 96.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cae…e877backed Yes | 23c | 92.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 75c | 90.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 21c | 89.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked Yes | 20c | 85.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ab30backed Yes | 20c | 79.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fb…59e6backed Yes | 25c | 79.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7e35backed Yes | 21c | 74.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…2bd9backed Yes | 27c | 72.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff7…82c5backed Yes | 17c | 70.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 75c | 67.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed Yes | 25c | 65.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…985abacked Yes | 31c | 64.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe399…b921backed No | 74c | 64.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 20c | 64.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…487ebacked Yes | 34c | 59.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…da26backed Yes | 18c | 58.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 21c | 58.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…ebeabacked Yes | 24c | 55.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 73c | 53.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…0408backed Yes | 21c | 53.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…77d1backed Yes | 23c | 52.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…a763backed No | 78c | 51.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…ab1abacked No | 75c | 51.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 254 | 66.9%170 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…3661backed Yes | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…b931backed Yes | 25c | 49.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…a93ebacked No | 76c | 45.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes | 22c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 173 | 10.4%18 W · 155 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 76c | 39.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 28c | 36.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9197…c318backed No | 78c | 33.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…d74dbacked No | 68c | 31.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…a4d5backed No | 72c | 30.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…62e0backed No | 78c | 30.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…5263backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…91cfbacked No | 73c | 27.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 77c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…956bbacked No | 66c | 26.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…4d6bbacked No | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…e572backed No | 74c | 24.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 76c | 24.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 21.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 75c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a2…2c18backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x599f…3317backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 125 | 78.4%98 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…8f82backed No | 76c | 17.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 79c | 17.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 77c | 15.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c40…fcf2backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on May 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.