Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd360aecc49ee09a80f422b66360380182ac2a1201d997f2d9aa189fdcad57b14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94b0…9d34backed Yes | 77c | 3,682$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.48 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 54c | 3,052$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.87 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 12c | 1,465$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 41c | 1,363$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.69 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked No | 36c | 1,126$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 47c | 1,109$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.01 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 5c | 940$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…5ffdbacked Yes | 59c | 935.82$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed Yes | 80c | 801.56$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb9…c1f3backed Yes | 65c | 606.86$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 46c | 582.18$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.67 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 47c | 575.63$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.95 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 36c | 564.89$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 48c | 527.42$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.73 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 53c | 520.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 62c | 515.03$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.23 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 41c | 456.71$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.27 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 39c | 452.06$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5287…3a16backed No | 46c | 367.81$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Yes | 51c | 322.03$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 58c | 311$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.28 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 45c | 294.18$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 8c | 293$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 39c | 266.37$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 47c | 231.16$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.83 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 44c | 229$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 44c | 209$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…e19dbacked Yes | 55c | 207.85$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 56c | 198.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6f…be6fbacked No | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 36c | 180$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83db…4b90backed Yes | 63c | 177.73$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked Yes | 52c | 153$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 47c | 148$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…95f5backed No | 50c | 145$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 40c | 142$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 49c | 137.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…0c9abacked Yes | 55c | 130$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 38c | 125$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 62c | 121.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…a983backed Yes | 64c | 118.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 12c | 118.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 52c | 118$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 56c | 116.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c9…664dbacked Yes | 51c | 105.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a3…ac11backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd1…1da0backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…edf2backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…dd4fbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Yes | 51c | 93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 30c | 93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…7f40backed Yes | 52c | 92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 39c | 90.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Yes | 52c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…8b79backed Yes | 67c | 75.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 13c | 75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f9…40cfbacked No | 36c | 68.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 64c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…1a5abacked Yes | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 48c | 62.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 41c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605e…8b39backed No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 52c | 58.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Yes | 52c | 55.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 50c | 55.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 64c | 51.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3714…1af6backed Yes | 47c | 51.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af0…7aefbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5a86backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…87e1backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a56…563cbacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 309 | 18.1%56 W · 253 L | -29.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No | 47c | 48.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Yes | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…9b3dbacked Yes | 52c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 35c | 46.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…42c1backed Yes | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 37cpaid | +225.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 46c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Yes | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…439ebacked Yes | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…0fe1backed Yes | 54c | 29.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ab…e190backed No | 35c | 29.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…297bbacked Yes | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…82b5backed Yes | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…d2acbacked No | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cc…2506backed Yes | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?this page
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.75–$2.00 in May?No won
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.