Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26157cdbee045c02052fbf6b91c085a9946bc030d486067098dc5f414763d988
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00ff…aa2abacked Yes | 32c | 2,212$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 36c | 1,973$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.86 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 62c | 1,656$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.84 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…db74backed Yes | 28c | 1,443$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.87 | 260 | 25%65 W · 195 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b98…925ebacked Yes | 10c | 952.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 3c | 951$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 48c | 777.58$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.13 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed No | 65c | 773.74$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.51 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 741$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.61 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 75c | 653.24$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…36f4backed Yes | 42c | 566.37$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.25 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 41c | 444.37$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.53 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…ebeabacked Yes | 38c | 430.74$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.03 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad2…5b01backed No | 63c | 425.19$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.94 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 22c | 411.91$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 79c | 395.71$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 69c | 355.38$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed No | 65c | 342.8$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.14 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 19c | 342.54$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 22c | 335.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 65c | 317.23$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 39c | 310.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 22c | 308.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 34c | 301.7$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 7c | 286.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 65c | 286.63$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 13c | 283.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb5…e19cbacked Yes | 37c | 269.73$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…f00ebacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 50c | 249.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.98 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 50c | 246.2$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.1 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 60c | 244.14$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.45 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d2…ff97backed Yes | 21c | 230.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 225.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 17c | 222.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 23c | 209.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d5…cf99backed Yes | 31c | 209.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 10c | 200.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 38c | 200.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 6c | 198.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 77c | 194.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 60c | 190.63$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d5…3cfabacked Yes | 14c | 176.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 175.83$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 58c | 173.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 20c | 170$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 11c | 167.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 59c | 162.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 59c | 160.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 55c | 153.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…ab50backed Yes | 33c | 150.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 21c | 140.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 65c | 139.14$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 62c | 134.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 54c | 129.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…5461backed Yes | 22c | 129.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 77c | 129.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…cfe2backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 64c | 124.16$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…e1c7backed Yes | 39c | 119.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff7…82c5backed Yes | 16c | 118.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 117.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc87d…061dbacked Yes | 34c | 112.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf613…2a52backed Yes | 38c | 110.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 36c | 110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe938…3941backed Yes | 46c | 108.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 70c | 108.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 57c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 65c | 104.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 33c | 101.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 74c | 100.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 251 | 75.7%190 W · 61 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b8…b518backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea4…4a77backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 67c | 99.46$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 33c | 99.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…da46backed Yes | 32c | 89.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 146 | 35.6%52 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cb…c123backed Yes | 40c | 89.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 64c | 86.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 18c | 85.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 60c | 85.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…3edabacked No | 66c | 75.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 78c | 73.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…24fabacked No | 69c | 69.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 63c | 68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa921…f0eabacked No | 68c | 66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 93 | 62.4%58 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e8…c991backed Yes | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…d2acbacked Yes | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 64c | 61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9848…f408backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b38…df69backed Yes | 36c | 59.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 59c | 58.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 59c | 56.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b98…c0cebacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f8…853cbacked Yes | 38c | 51.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 29c | 51.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.