Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9352b7349a68caf77ed29a0f6b3007333766d984bf3bbbd737e2e1c283d47d76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 67c | 741$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.59 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…36f4backed Yes | 38c | 563.05$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.23 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 35c | 498.48$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.32 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 38c | 477.46$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…5461backed Yes | 35c | 410.37$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.09 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 381$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.58 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 27c | 303.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 66c | 302.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.78 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 63c | 298.67$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 37c | 298.13$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.67 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked No | 78c | 294.66$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad2…5b01backed Yes | 32c | 289.75$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.51 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 271$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2946…8eb4backed Yes | 31c | 270.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 31c | 258.77$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 24c | 189.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 13c | 180$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 70c | 162.35$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 28c | 158.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 70c | 152.41$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…ab50backed No | 66c | 150.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…34d6backed Yes | 40c | 142.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 62c | 140.86$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 69c | 124.15$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 36c | 123.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 67c | 122.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 43c | 122.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 76c | 119.25$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 29c | 115$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 63c | 113.87$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 48c | 107.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 10c | 105$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 17c | 102$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…bc2dbacked Yes | 41c | 101.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…da46backed Yes | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 146 | 35.6%52 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 33c | 96.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d2…ff97backed Yes | 29c | 94.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…ddfbbacked Yes | 27c | 94.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked No | 73c | 91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 201 | 72.6%146 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 31c | 88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 46c | 87.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 33c | 86.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c000backed Yes | 24c | 84.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 34c | 82.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 29c | 79.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 79.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 65c | 79.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 19c | 75.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 16c | 75.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 33c | 73.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 27c | 73.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 34c | 70.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 74c | 70.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 74c | 70.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 65c | 63.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 65c | 60.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 34c | 60.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 27c | 60.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 68c | 59.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 37c | 58.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 401 | 32.9%132 W · 269 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 72c | 56.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 67c | 56.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 31c | 56.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 30c | 54.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 22c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 76c | 51.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…61c4backed Yes | 30c | 51.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | +19.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 64c | 51.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 31c | 50.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d5…3cfabacked Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…31e3backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 70c | 49.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 42c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 65c | 48.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 67c | 47.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ce…b36fbacked Yes | 32c | 46.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 25c | 45.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed No | 66c | 45.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 70c | 43.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…e13fbacked Yes | 37c | 42.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 28c | 41.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 41.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 64c | 38.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 27c | 38.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 72c | 38.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 77c | 35.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 66c | 35.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf18…d9bfbacked Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…4d6bbacked No | 66c | 34.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.