Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x578d22447db90adb9f65b46ce4992acf79ed1c0af380e31a0501e63b78ce893c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 17c | 957.91$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.19 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 76c | 741$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.65 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 63c | 728.42$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.41 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 73c | 689.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.56 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…ab50backed No | 78c | 538.61$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 77c | 534.89$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.65 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 23c | 472.71$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.8 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad2…5b01backed Yes | 31c | 457.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.94 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 22c | 417.89$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.88 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 63c | 375$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 5c | 367.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 27c | 364.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 7c | 356.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 73c | 334.83$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.5 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 16c | 299.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.98 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 23c | 282.86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.6 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 57c | 257.47$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 24c | 253.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.24 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed Yes | 63c | 241.54$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b98…925ebacked Yes | 39c | 227.54$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.32 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 402 | 26.9%108 W · 294 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d7…1a16backed Yes | 62c | 223.84$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 37c | 219.17$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.21 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…b251backed No | 63c | 216.59$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.98 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Yes | 64c | 211.29$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 26c | 209.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.13 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 31c | 208.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 38c | 205$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 49c | 202.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.35 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 29c | 199.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.98 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 41c | 193.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 48c | 191.66$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 52c | 188.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 34c | 185.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 26c | 182.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.01 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 39c | 182.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.06 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 31c | 182.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 19c | 179.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 45c | 175.83$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 26c | 170.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 22c | 168.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.15 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 79c | 162.35$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.61 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…34d6backed Yes | 48c | 159.73$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…5461backed No | 49c | 159.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 79c | 151.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 62c | 148.58$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 22c | 147.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.27 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 66c | 139.77$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 18c | 139.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.27 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab5e…47f6backed Yes | 45c | 131.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 53c | 129.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 29c | 124.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 73c | 124.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.29 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…da46backed Yes | 30c | 117.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 146 | 35.6%52 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…ddfbbacked Yes | 68c | 117.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 56c | 114.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 57c | 113.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 27c | 111.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…b9f8backed Yes | 71c | 110.12$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 349 | 22.9%80 W · 269 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 51c | 103.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…04bebacked Yes | 66c | 102.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 33c | 100.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed No | 39c | 100.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 18c | 99.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…cf4bbacked No | 12c | 99.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 26c | 98.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 48c | 96.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 95.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 22c | 92.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 77c | 92.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 21c | 91.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 22c | 90.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 77c | 90$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…bc2dbacked Yes | 64c | 89.81$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…a47bbacked Yes | 20c | 86.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5868…64c8backed No | 62c | 86.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 22c | 82.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 32c | 80.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…34e1backed Yes | 20c | 80.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +160.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…53d0backed No | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a74…05b2backed No | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7782…f35fbacked No | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed No | 60c | 79.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 62c | 79.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 31c | 79.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 19c | 78.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 64c | 76.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 76c | 69.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 50c | 68.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 46c | 67.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 76c | 62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 63c | 62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 22c | 61.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 49c | 59.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 52c | 56.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 77c | 56.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.