Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcca44537d5cbb21dfc46a740888b5acacd93587bd791256c49847e579578ac9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed No | 0c | 12,827$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 88 | 12.5%11 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 12c | 11,162$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.38 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…c167backed No | 3c | 10,381$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.11 | 177 | 23.2%41 W · 136 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…4ddabacked No | 0c | 9,023$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 388 | 11.9%46 W · 342 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 75c | 8,405$6,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.8 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…c12cbacked No | 4c | 4,750$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.4 | 124 | 24.2%30 W · 94 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 17c | 4,536$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.95 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 14c | 3,875$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.14 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 19c | 3,491$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.93 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked No | 7c | 3,476$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed No | 6c | 3,415$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.91 | 202 | 26.7%54 W · 148 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 9c | 2,864$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…c676backed Yes | 80c | 2,593$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.43 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed No | 7c | 2,569$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.28 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 70c | 2,470$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.89 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 31c | 2,402$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.37 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 1c | 2,283$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 26c | 2,243$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.34 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…1c38backed No | 36c | 2,120$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.85 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 52c | 2,100$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.9 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…ed1cbacked Yes | 47c | 2,078$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 35c | 2,056$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.55 | 124 | 9.7%12 W · 112 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…d2dcbacked No | 30c | 2,028$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 20c | 2,016$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.93 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 20c | 2,003$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.67 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…e9f3backed No | 5c | 2,000$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…178ebacked No | 6c | 1,900$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 33c | 1,760$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.57 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d54…2bc7backed Yes | 80c | 1,633$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3a…4580backed Yes | 72c | 1,603$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.1 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 27c | 1,447$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.39 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…cd9dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,300$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.12 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…704abacked Yes | 71c | 1,234$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.39 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…be8ebacked No | 9c | 1,068$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.18 | 232 | 12.1%28 W · 204 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed No | 27c | 1,054$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.33 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 9c | 1,000$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.28 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked No | 10c | 999.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 60c | 999.75$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.92 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 34c | 954.81$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.71 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Yes | 59c | 916.69$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.02 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 48c | 872.24$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.16 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…e81fbacked No | 1c | 857.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…8137backed Yes | 60c | 803.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.36 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 8c | 803.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…cbadbacked Yes | 51c | 799.99$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.99 | 78 | 26.9%21 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c9…fadabacked Yes | 64c | 796.01$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.07 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…06edbacked Yes | 71c | 794.19$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.89 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…eae5backed No | 38c | 785.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…fbd6backed No | 30c | 739.96$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 10c | 724.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 69c | 720.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.71 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed No | 46c | 708.38$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.45 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes | 72c | 701.83$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.41 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…17e5backed Yes | 61c | 700$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 31c | 693.59$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f09bbacked No | 27c | 646.87$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.15 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 44c | 594.82$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 59c | 581.59$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.59 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 74c | 579.24$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.64 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ea…2072backed Yes | 55c | 578.91$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.51 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 70c | 560.68$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.57 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…a4c2backed No | 22c | 555.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.16 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes | 65c | 535.62$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.62 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 33c | 521.95$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.75 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed No | 19c | 490.71$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | -16.1wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1b69…16d4backed No | 33c | 460.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 223 | 27.8%62 W · 161 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes | 64c | 453.86$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.44 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 62c | 433.13$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.6 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 69c | 432.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.96 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 37c | 419.92$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca2…20e6backed Yes | 73c | 409.13$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…2217backed Yes | 73c | 405.52$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 33c | 402.01$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.98 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 53c | 400.05$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.31 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked Yes | 55c | 399.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 9c | 391.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…1305backed No | 26c | 380$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed No | 15c | 379.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed No | 21c | 351.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 70c | 346.05$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes | 58c | 343.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.1 | 198 | 19.7%39 W · 159 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…1cf6backed Yes | 66c | 305$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.46 | 191 | 41.4%79 W · 112 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8641…e3acbacked Yes | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x544a…dbe1backed No | 6c | 299.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea8…36efbacked Yes | 72c | 299.46$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c8…bac1backed No | 27c | 278.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…0822backed No | 31c | 278$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 72c | 271.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.09 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97f…7813backed Yes | 79c | 269.22$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 159 | 28.3%45 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f8…7835backed No | 6c | 257.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ac…7166backed No | 9c | 251.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked No | 32c | 250$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 212 | 20.3%43 W · 169 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +610.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…1cdbbacked No | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254a…bc44backed Yes | 67c | 238.78$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…17e5backed Yes | 56c | 236.5$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…556cbacked Yes | 67c | 229.78$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…efb9backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…dcdebacked Yes | 72c | 213.96$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 212 | 22.2%47 W · 165 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e7…1c56backed Yes | 56c | 213.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.