Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e1269a1926e7062380dbc682766e30b60728961e717026dda29968dcf222d4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $301,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes | 19c | 78,507$14,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,737.61 | 144 | 27.1%39 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…178ebacked Yes | 1c | 15,407$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 79c | 10,093$7,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.33 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…132abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…c676backed No | 74c | 7,488$5,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.78 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 2c | 6,414$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.42 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 2c | 5,500$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 798 | 11.3%90 W · 708 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes | 0c | 4,667$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 6c | 4,661$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.5 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38d…83d6backed No | 72c | 4,500$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 15c | 4,089$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.24 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 7c | 3,750$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Yes | 19c | 3,449$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.02 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 16c | 3,020$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.82 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 70c | 3,012$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed Yes | 3c | 2,547$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 88 | 12.5%11 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 23c | 2,505$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.95 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ea…2072backed Yes | 13c | 2,281$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.66 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 2,015$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.18 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 32c | 1,900$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.69 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked Yes | 16c | 1,867$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.16 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,593$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.01 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 25c | 1,526$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 335 | 27.8%93 W · 242 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…57c1backed Yes | 2c | 1,513$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 217 | 6%13 W · 204 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 72c | 1,492$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.33 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,490$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.51 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,476$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.02 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 14c | 1,430$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.18 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 14c | 1,402$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.61 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 8c | 1,370$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102b…a7acbacked Yes | 17c | 1,325$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x062d…500fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,321$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 114 | 8.8%10 W · 104 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 19c | 1,312$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.98 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 6c | 1,290$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…be8ebacked No | 70c | 1,181$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.81 | 232 | 12.1%28 W · 204 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 69c | 1,070$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.8 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 18c | 1,028$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.03 | 846 | 16.4%139 W · 707 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 161 | 10.6%17 W · 144 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7de…537abacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3c…1a17backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 388 | 11.9%46 W · 342 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked No | 64c | 973.32$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.4 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 11c | 863.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 75c | 840.94$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.33 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed No | 57c | 829.13$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.49 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…6906backed Yes | 21c | 817.64$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.34 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 22c | 816.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.74 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 23c | 807.96$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.24 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…06edbacked Yes | 20c | 735.49$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.51 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…77acbacked Yes | 15c | 668.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 159 | 25.2%40 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…d2dcbacked No | 76c | 641.51$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…cbadbacked Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 78 | 26.9%21 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…efb9backed Yes | 16c | 572.19$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…a4c2backed No | 78c | 555.15$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.91 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…a0d9backed No | 78c | 516.24$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed No | 60c | 500$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x308a…eed3backed Yes | 5c | 499.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 16c | 499.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 8c | 489.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…fa0cbacked Yes | 30c | 483.89$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.49 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Yes | 28c | 447.94$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.46 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 72c | 442$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.6 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 16c | 440.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 14c | 434.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 80c | 401.95$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e7…1c56backed Yes | 24c | 375$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes | 14c | 374.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001f…9cb5backed Yes | 19c | 369.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92d…a225backed Yes | 14c | 357$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 233 | 8.2%19 W · 214 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…1305backed No | 57c | 351.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…c97ebacked Yes | 28c | 349.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes | 29c | 345.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec3…c2a0backed No | 69c | 333.9$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 325.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 15c | 321.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…743ebacked Yes | 31c | 312.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Yes | 17c | 312.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 21c | 310.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 124 | 9.7%12 W · 112 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes | 13c | 301.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 15.9%21 W · 111 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Yes | 8c | 301.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 4c | 299.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 227 | 18.5%42 W · 185 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…3348backed Yes | 19c | 299$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 5c | 294.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 9c | 281.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 691 | 5.5%38 W · 653 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed Yes | 36c | 279.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a14…ec01backed No | 63c | 265.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.55 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 11c | 242.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 112 | 24.1%27 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 22c | 228.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 237 | 35.4%84 W · 153 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x774d…5cdabacked Yes | 19c | 219.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…5aebbacked Yes | 25c | 200.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5fdcbacked Yes | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 212 | 33%70 W · 142 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8841…d32cbacked Yes | 7c | 199.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…460bbacked Yes | 27c | 190$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 264 | 18.6%49 W · 215 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 61c | 186.61$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.