Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fa56b542d5f705383686b1be28eab182a33c7684f008350fdef1dcd0d4e21d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 0c | 6,015$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ea2ebacked No | 5c | 5,957$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01bf…886ebacked No | 0c | 3,515$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…98ebbacked No | 2c | 1,241$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 1c | 1,049$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea4…4a77backed Yes | 75c | 764.38$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.18 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked No | 20c | 714.73$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 61c | 643.73$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.82 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 68c | 575.19$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.68 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 56c | 499.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.74 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 42c | 499$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.77 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 79c | 412.54$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 78c | 395.69$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 26c | 395.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.27 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7f…0380backed Yes | 56c | 391.71$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 23c | 336.51$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…9d1bbacked Yes | 54c | 336.2$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.92 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 44c | 291.51$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cff…468bbacked Yes | 76c | 269.1$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 162 | 63%102 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5c…a240backed Yes | 45c | 261.33$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.39 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 53c | 237.3$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.41 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…8faabacked No | 80c | 236.21$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6476…393ebacked No | 43c | 231.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 57c | 227.76$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.59 | 401 | 32.9%132 W · 269 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfafe…066fbacked No | 68c | 226.5$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 39c | 222$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 22c | 218.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 25c | 210.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.12 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 26c | 210.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 58c | 210.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.28 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0786…df1dbacked No | 40c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 230 | 60.9%140 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 21c | 199.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…3824backed No | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 48c | 189.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…e08cbacked No | 28c | 188.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 41c | 178.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 33c | 174.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…f00ebacked Yes | 59c | 170.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked Yes | 70c | 167.85$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 294 | 69.7%205 W · 89 L | +26.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…db74backed Yes | 52c | 166.44$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 260 | 25%65 W · 195 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 16c | 161.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…4066backed Yes | 57c | 159.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 46c | 158.32$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 56c | 153.01$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 24c | 140$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 78c | 130.15$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 42c | 123.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 77c | 122.7$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 44c | 122.02$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 29c | 121.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked Yes | 79c | 120.58$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 21c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe67…3932backed No | 37c | 115.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 58c | 112.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe009…121ebacked Yes | 63c | 109.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 56c | 108$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…ae14backed No | 44c | 102.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…b2a7backed Yes | 57c | 102.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 251 | 75.7%190 W · 61 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 31c | 99.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…5a89backed No | 25c | 96.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 56c | 94.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 32c | 93.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 18c | 90.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 43c | 89.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 39c | 87.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea55…558fbacked Yes | 54c | 85.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 56c | 84.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 35c | 79.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 72c | 77.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 53c | 76.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…d0babacked Yes | 25c | 76.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 40c | 74.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…91cfbacked No | 40c | 72.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed Yes | 25c | 72.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe938…3941backed Yes | 59c | 70.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 46c | 68.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 69c | 67.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 41c | 66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 71c | 65.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 35c | 65.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked No | 32c | 65.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336e…bcc3backed Yes | 23c | 64.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 32c | 63.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4139…0a12backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…b552backed Yes | 80c | 62.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe978…ab29backed Yes | 63c | 62.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…c2eabacked No | 36c | 61.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66d…9fdfbacked No | 49c | 60.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…605cbacked No | 59c | 59.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 28c | 59.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…24fabacked No | 77c | 55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 33c | 54.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63f…a744backed No | 22c | 53.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…d2acbacked Yes | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…b8adbacked No | 20c | 51.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 30c | 50.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 257 | 66.1%170 W · 87 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or below on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.