Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x984e5a075688d9b34e2fd383494d9c2f40bf5c0374d9610a950d3cfded33723b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,240$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 10c | 788.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b3…46febacked Yes | 36c | 583.07$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 8c | 537.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 3c | 507.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 408$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed No | 77c | 322.35$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfea4…4a77backed Yes | 26c | 307.59$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…ab50backed No | 80c | 250.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 67c | 237.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 73c | 226$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 23c | 214.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 28c | 204.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…b0febacked Yes | 18c | 202$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 14c | 195.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 74c | 187.71$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 70c | 175.38$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 23c | 169.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41aa…9e8cbacked Yes | 6c | 165$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 607 | 3.3%20 W · 587 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…4066backed Yes | 37c | 160.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 31c | 157.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 12c | 133.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…da46backed Yes | 17c | 129.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 146 | 35.6%52 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 71c | 122.06$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe009…121ebacked Yes | 27c | 112.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 13c | 112.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…9d9fbacked Yes | 18c | 109.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 74c | 108.93$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57c…b99bbacked Yes | 18c | 105.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 20c | 103.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 76c | 101.46$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a0…63a4backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 22c | 99.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 39c | 96.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 75c | 95.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 13c | 93.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 19c | 92.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 24c | 88.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 79c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 25c | 82.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 74c | 81.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked Yes | 51c | 80.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 21c | 73.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 67c | 70.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 68c | 68.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…e13fbacked Yes | 27c | 61.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…55edbacked Yes | 26c | 61.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…940ebacked No | 71c | 61.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 22c | 61.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…943ebacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 70c | 58.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked Yes | 19c | 58.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…0af7backed No | 78c | 57.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 328 | 72%236 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 20c | 52.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 50.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…a47bbacked Yes | 26c | 49.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 24c | 47.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 27c | 42.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 74c | 41.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 26c | 38.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 38.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…6cd3backed Yes | 44c | 36.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59c1…12cebacked Yes | 34c | 35.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 33.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 33.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe978…ab29backed No | 79c | 31.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked Yes | 37c | 30.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…05ebbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177b…6e61backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…7ef6backed No | 71c | 29.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 116 | 70.7%82 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…67f4backed No | 71c | 28.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 75c | 22.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked No | 68c | 21.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf7…ebeabacked No | 80c | 18.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked No | 66c | 18.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 76c | 15.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked No | 78c | 14.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 201 | 72.6%146 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or below on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.