Middle East · resolved market
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x430c82b739789b90fd5f95929d03223f332808122327c8b69424793a5bad3daf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f5d…b72fbacked Yes | 7c | 3,650$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 59c | 2,171$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.71 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…0c7ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,361$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e85abacked Yes | 4c | 1,183$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf6…2ecdbacked Yes | 53c | 748.36$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…ae4abacked Yes | 36c | 609.49$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 503$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37cf…a390backed Yes | 18c | 456.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…3734backed Yes | 48c | 453.1$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595a…bca8backed Yes | 29c | 436.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.63 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…a226backed Yes | 34c | 390.47$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4513…5a38backed No | 12c | 313.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +701.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703a…cf39backed Yes | 26c | 255.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…73f7backed Yes | 11c | 254$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 32c | 240$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 4c | 236.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 9cpaid | +307.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Yes | 20c | 228.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 28c | 220$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…f9eabacked Yes | 27c | 212.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…f749backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…72e4backed No | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +16.4wins | +0.32per pick | 21cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 66c | 186.08$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…d1fabacked Yes | 19c | 186.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 72c | 177$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 62c | 174.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 15c | 167$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.95 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 36c | 152.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 50c | 140.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…841cbacked Yes | 67c | 132.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…16a7backed Yes | 25c | 128.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 52c | 126.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 124.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…3da2backed Yes | 48c | 123.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 22c | 122$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 22c | 121.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 72c | 121.11$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 99 | 81.8%81 W · 18 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a57…1f06backed No | 67c | 114.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…f867backed Yes | 31c | 114$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…f9c2backed Yes | 56c | 107.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 105.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 74c | 105$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0227…7a0cbacked Yes | 36c | 104.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 48c | 99.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked Yes | 17c | 95.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed No | 28c | 92.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…36e8backed Yes | 18c | 86.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 58c | 86.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 32c | 86.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…b95dbacked Yes | 35c | 85.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1a…5cc3backed Yes | 58c | 84.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3be…1015backed Yes | 61c | 82.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 56c | 80.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…b8f1backed No | 49c | 79.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…e462backed Yes | 25c | 79.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4420…3babbacked Yes | 32c | 71.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 58c | 71.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 67c | 69.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…2624backed Yes | 30c | 67.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…65b6backed Yes | 38c | 65.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad3…8e7fbacked Yes | 31c | 65.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…da18backed Yes | 54c | 64.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 23c | 62.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 103 | 21.4%22 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…7b84backed Yes | 54c | 60.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 23c | 58.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…2bb0backed Yes | 34c | 58.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 30c | 55.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…4c29backed Yes | 51c | 55.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 70c | 52.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 33c | 52.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…5048backed Yes | 29c | 49.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 28c | 49.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b9…9e85backed Yes | 46c | 49.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…864cbacked Yes | 26c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 37c | 44.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 34c | 43.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…6c9bbacked No | 72c | 42.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 30c | 40.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…602fbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 38c | 34.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…f9a3backed Yes | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb08…f30bbacked Yes | 37c | 30.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 61c | 29.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a2…cba6backed No | 80c | 28.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 73c | 27.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…312bbacked No | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 64c | 25.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 62c | 25.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 76c | 23.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 51c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf90…62b9backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 63c | 18.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 68c | 17.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?this page
- Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?Yes won
- Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.