Middle East · resolved market
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47381a493e81772f69e695d4de92695602eb353caa4a7a3bbf3b5df2ffa7ec74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 68c | 1,958$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.97 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,402$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.92 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcee…bda5backed Yes | 76c | 825$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Yes | 60c | 777.79$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.27 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…0c7ebacked Yes | 71c | 755.77$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes | 61c | 740.17$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.17 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…bbd8backed Yes | 59c | 526.21$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 22c | 511.25$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3be…1015backed Yes | 56c | 431.1$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc692…dfa6backed Yes | 72c | 418.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.42 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 35c | 403.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 31c | 385.21$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…2ec4backed Yes | 56c | 358.35$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…5a38backed No | 43c | 309.47$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.97 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 39c | 290.23$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf505…7a35backed Yes | 49c | 268$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 63c | 240$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…7b96backed Yes | 44c | 222.2$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +83%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…6b96backed No | 33c | 210.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x703a…cf39backed No | 33c | 203.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked No | 49c | 200.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 28c | 197.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…19f8backed No | 27c | 192$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 31c | 187.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.48 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 22c | 182.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 54c | 180$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…5a89backed Yes | 60c | 177.75$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bb…4a9abacked Yes | 29c | 171.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 39c | 170$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 32c | 166.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…62b2backed No | 23c | 165.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x043e…1e20backed Yes | 71c | 141.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…d9aabacked Yes | 74c | 135.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf622…ac91backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e0…69e3backed No | 77c | 119.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…3734backed Yes | 71c | 112.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 70c | 109.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf6…2ecdbacked Yes | 80c | 100.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d6…50c7backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a57…1f06backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4e…7a5fbacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 51c | 99.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af7…7f20backed No | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0227…7a0cbacked No | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 32c | 94.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…7ee8backed No | 43c | 92.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 48c | 88.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 21c | 86.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…a7febacked Yes | 59c | 77.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ec…dc92backed No | 26c | 76.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 32c | 74.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked No | 32c | 74.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked No | 23c | 72.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +13.5wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…f6dcbacked Yes | 79c | 71.81$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…17e3backed No | 43c | 69.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd01…c83dbacked No | 29c | 67.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…312bbacked No | 30c | 66.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…5cf0backed Yes | 56c | 65.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 36c | 64.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 43c | 63.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 33c | 62.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 74c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…7b84backed Yes | 40c | 60.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb350…cb85backed Yes | 77c | 60.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked No | 42c | 58.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 69c | 58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…4c29backed Yes | 37c | 55.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 24c | 51.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2db…140abacked No | 26c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3671…a634backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x595a…bca8backed Yes | 69c | 50.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…8a22backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 65c | 49.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…841cbacked No | 43c | 48.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…2f54backed Yes | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 70c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 65c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 73c | 47.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 99 | 81.8%81 W · 18 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…16a7backed No | 26c | 46.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…b2aabacked Yes | 57c | 35.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcf…532abacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…d6a5backed Yes | 49c | 30.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12cd…34a0backed Yes | 71c | 27.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 55c | 26.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafab…5949backed Yes | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd140…810dbacked Yes | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed No | 48c | 24.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222a…d5afbacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 46c | 23.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…aa0ebacked Yes | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffb…c689backed Yes | 78c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fc…74bdbacked Yes | 80c | 19.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…f867backed Yes | 72c | 18.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?this page
- Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?No won
- Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.