TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$720,208
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$565,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $720,208 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1255…dc0fbacked No59c65,258$38,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,678.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d90…3259backed Yes54c53,982$29,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,382.8440%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed No39c33,209$13,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,183.274161%25 W · 16 L+8.3wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+51.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed No31c29,710$9,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,582.638341%34 W · 49 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6fa…aeecbacked Yes6c29,368$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.352020%4 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1a…bfa2backed Yes41c21,732$8,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,819.381833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c5b…a790backed Yes64c20,454$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,000.082445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb22a…a80dbacked Yes4c17,759$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6331668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7596…2ff6backed Yes44c15,765$6,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,979.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c14,942$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.044440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes14c13,981$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.1515932.7%52 W · 107 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+102.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes44c13,815$6,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,078.471546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No54c13,604$7,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,244.3534354.8%188 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435c…170fbacked Yes11c12,620$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.84825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-62.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No44c12,537$5,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,03315558.7%91 W · 64 L+0.8wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes32c11,583$3,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,719.571650%8 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+138.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No42c10,609$4,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,124.1852850.8%268 W · 260 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff9e…56a1backed No51c10,562$5,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,154.086536.9%24 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3504…3e45backed Yes4c10,409$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.641546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+44.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0765…8bf9backed No60c10,084$6,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,050.51683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+85.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed No23c9,848$2,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,607.484445.5%20 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No51c7,857$3,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,869.510646.2%49 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x824e…265abacked Yes69c6,938$4,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,797.931216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-78.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc7f9…e37dbacked No31c6,929$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,780.231540%6 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19e8…405fbacked Yes36c5,934$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.4330%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x835c…a5eebacked No48c5,605$2,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940.21955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedee…f2b4backed Yes32c5,349$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.532544%11 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3c6…cd43backed No28c5,085$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,665.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+307.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Yes49c5,076$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.97560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+416.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4842…b7d4backed No15c5,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2504100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+173%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75b1…e2e8backed Yes18c4,807$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.151844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+76.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed No46c4,338$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,330.0710151.5%52 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Yes63c4,330$2,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,712.1314240.8%58 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No65c4,240$2,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4724450%22 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9063…3cc8backed Yes66c3,991$2,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,645.533033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9292…567bbacked No28c3,692$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,645.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa44…0a39backed Yes3c3,610$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.34633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94f7…5b87backed Yes12c3,604$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.41450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+278.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked No55c3,287$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.472572%18 W · 7 L+5.8wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+56%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No42c3,214$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.6939952.4%209 W · 190 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4027…a447backed Yes71c3,210$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,282.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…9ee2backed No51c3,204$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.023959%23 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+85.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa43d…00f4backed Yes39c3,078$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.471952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked Yes57c3,054$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.885431.5%17 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No55c3,036$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.5413243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked Yes59c2,983$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+128.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8d0…4427backed Yes67c2,970$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990.512846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No31c2,969$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.0635258%204 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes13c2,906$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.5517330.1%52 W · 121 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3191…0665backed No37c2,843$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes39c2,500$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.9918036.7%66 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No41c2,498$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.9520065%130 W · 70 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes38c2,400$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92013334.6%46 W · 87 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6627…000cbacked Yes39c2,043$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.84862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f1b…c402backed Yes14c2,008$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.7940%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No39c1,951$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.6816852.4%88 W · 80 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No40c1,887$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.1716051.9%83 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No40c1,877$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.2113748.2%66 W · 71 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebf…0550backed Yes38c1,791$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No45c1,774$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.827317.8%13 W · 60 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-60.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No40c1,754$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.9512249.2%60 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No44c1,730$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.828558.9%168 W · 117 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No40c1,693$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.3815954.1%86 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed No42c1,663$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.120538%78 W · 127 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes3c1,550$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.75815.5%9 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391b…3179backed Yes42c1,535$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.611816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-70.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No57c1,505$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.4922355.6%124 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe231…4e3ebacked Yes79c1,500$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1851457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No55c1,454$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.419254.3%50 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad6…a93cbacked Yes37c1,438$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.27650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No33c1,341$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.8516051.9%83 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No54c1,324$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.8626355.9%147 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9d…adc0backed No34c1,317$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.3813444.8%60 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf47d…f295backed Yes70c1,309$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.56955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+360.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8030…7b74backed No23c1,247$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.435558.2%32 W · 23 L+15.2wins+0.28per pick31cpaid+73.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x265e…d223backed Yes23c1,241$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.212119%4 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No43c1,230$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9910038%38 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No69c1,213$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.035932.2%19 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed No51c1,210$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.54548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No39c1,168$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.5714954.4%81 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0169…0096backed Yes35c1,081$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3757731.2%24 W · 53 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae33…7807backed Yes11c1,070$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.54728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+334.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5136…0e4fbacked No47c1,028$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.843562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Yes57c999.99$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.81233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2358…8986backed No30c992.27$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.53683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.49per pick34cpaid+219.9%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked No56c948.65$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.411566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+91.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No37c948.32$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.2616755.1%92 W · 75 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94b7…6d1dbacked Yes48c878.88$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.43728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid+65.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No44c829.86$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.6614553.8%78 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb95…1c62backed No30c819.24$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.461353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+80.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf650…6bf8backed No61c814.2$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No34c792.66$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.5415056.7%85 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f21…805ebacked No42c778$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4481315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-62.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No65c757.03$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.1731152.4%163 W · 148 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…980cbacked Yes66c731.91$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.281741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed No18c725.58$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.893925.6%10 W · 29 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick12cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x19bb…a23dbacked Yes48c697.25$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.071233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5566…7c29backed No45c675.72$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.765345.3%24 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No36c671.21$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.7916850.6%85 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No48c658.24$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.634761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.