TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb95…1c62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT5865.5%38 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.4
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$250
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.89
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.24
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.11
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.84
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108%+$150.6
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$90.08
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.2
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$19.7
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.77
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+29%+$36
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+46%+$6.3
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+80%+$80
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$56.3
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.66
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$33.48
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+80.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Will the Democratic Party win 13 upper-level local government races?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.69
Will the Democratic Party win 11 upper-level local government races?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$8.61
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$623.9
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,367Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+109.2%+$1,492.83
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+238.8%+$577.46
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+485.6%+$1,584.63
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$13.02
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$21.03
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$435.1
Canada recession before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+699.5%+$453.74
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-58.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.15
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$317.7
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipeibacked Chinese Taipei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+141.2%+$122.87
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Koreabacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+39.7%+$23.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.