World Politics · resolved market
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfcb2a622f84f4b76719e8b9e4fb2127a73b352df07bc243760acba10fc3227c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,732,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,474,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,732,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88be…652dbacked Yes | 8c | 137,366$11,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,723.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…8ea1backed No | 21c | 110,891$23,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,470.21 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +447.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 33c | 44,748$14,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,840.39 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…a8b5backed Yes | 60c | 38,114$22,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,205.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 50c | 37,805$18,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,078.45 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fa…16cbbacked Yes | 45c | 34,805$15,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,186.49 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…907ebacked Yes | 24c | 31,929$7,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,345.23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 15c | 29,397$4,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,099.47 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…b6f7backed Yes | 57c | 22,869$13,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,736.05 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 66c | 18,950$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,449.55 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…e4bdbacked Yes | 5c | 17,985$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,067.65 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Yes | 37c | 15,957$5,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,001.54 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 2c | 15,841$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,524.55 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…7430backed No | 6c | 14,553$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe145…62ecbacked Yes | 40c | 14,089$5,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,457.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 69c | 12,828$8,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,889.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…9c76backed Yes | 36c | 12,806$4,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,221.01 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes | 31c | 11,935$3,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,210.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +391.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 43c | 10,901$4,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,648 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 4c | 10,370$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.07 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…65e2backed Yes | 8c | 10,161$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,350.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +105%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed Yes | 46c | 10,000$4,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,415.14 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 50c | 10,000$4,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,988.82 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…eed6backed Yes | 36c | 9,498$3,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,078.52 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 38c | 9,255$3,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,477.97 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…ffd9backed Yes | 58c | 9,241$5,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,856.82 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Yes | 29c | 9,180$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,526.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 29cpaid | +75%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 23c | 9,168$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,044.76 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cf…7d67backed Yes | 70c | 8,857$6,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.96 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…a57cbacked Yes | 62c | 8,286$5,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7e…3e1dbacked Yes | 53c | 7,762$4,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675.83 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7136…b35abacked Yes | 2c | 7,723$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,531.28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +272.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…1115backed Yes | 3c | 7,650$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,432.65 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…75c9backed Yes | 3c | 7,550$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,359 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +239.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a9…d463backed Yes | 14c | 7,411$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,358.87 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…9091backed Yes | 71c | 7,177$5,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 13c | 7,106$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,153.87 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0034…cdfdbacked Yes | 14c | 6,961$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,965.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 12cpaid | +320.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…23b4backed Yes | 8c | 6,787$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,243.79 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +206.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 74c | 6,710$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998.5 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 69c | 6,122$4,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.96 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d05…a1edbacked Yes | 17c | 5,955$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,943.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0783…dd27backed Yes | 19c | 5,955$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,845.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 62c | 5,905$3,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.07 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 45c | 5,823$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.81 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…b52ebacked Yes | 13c | 5,742$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 26c | 5,537$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.17 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 6c | 5,241$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.22 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe852…0235backed Yes | 43c | 5,230$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b0…6440backed Yes | 51c | 5,200$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6091…972bbacked Yes | 36c | 5,200$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,327.98 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 56c | 5,051$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.68 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x730c…d996backed Yes | 50c | 4,966$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda99…7f3ebacked Yes | 6c | 4,690$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,412.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +739%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 41c | 4,523$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.3 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked No | 14c | 4,401$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.13 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Yes | 32c | 4,344$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.45 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…efcfbacked Yes | 23c | 4,335$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…f3b6backed Yes | 40c | 4,262$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 21c | 4,247$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,368.32 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x543a…f2cfbacked No | 52c | 4,222$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.02 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…4b39backed Yes | 27c | 4,080$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e9…c658backed Yes | 19c | 4,060$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,304.01 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7561…46a8backed Yes | 49c | 4,039$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Yes | 41c | 4,033$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.12 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1a…c549backed Yes | 10c | 4,010$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +228.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a21…ac9cbacked No | 45c | 3,935$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 59cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes | 37c | 3,817$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.08 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 19c | 3,799$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.97 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 3,680$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.75 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe051…73edbacked Yes | 5c | 3,661$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,490.6 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +115%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…0b6bbacked Yes | 23c | 3,591$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.34 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 49c | 3,452$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.26 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…421abacked Yes | 63c | 3,422$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff0…ad1ebacked No | 1c | 3,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x876a…9b82backed Yes | 21c | 3,254$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…2870backed Yes | 28c | 3,106$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba6…e84cbacked Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 70c | 2,615$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.69 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…f888backed Yes | 20c | 2,589$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +219.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…dc66backed Yes | 30c | 2,546$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.72 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b8…c1f7backed Yes | 8c | 2,400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…5353backed Yes | 45c | 2,329$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.56 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 44c | 2,259$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.71 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff49…69f5backed Yes | 4c | 2,243$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +235.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…9558backed Yes | 30c | 2,028$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.15 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b04abacked Yes | 50c | 2,017$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.33 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed Yes | 9c | 2,007$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.11 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 30c | 2,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…3bbdbacked Yes | 22c | 2,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f866backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf619…d903backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eba…e26ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,999$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…bd18backed Yes | 38c | 1,950$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +161.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…bd5cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,890$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +312.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…f829backed Yes | 2c | 1,830$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 3cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Yes | 23c | 1,809$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.29 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…17e7backed Yes | 42c | 1,785$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.3 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…78a6backed Yes | 27c | 1,700$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?this page
- Will Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jun-seok win between 2% and 5% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jun-seok win less than 2% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.