World Politics · resolved market
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3c462e6120f6819aa74014787cfb6a213dca39e1dd550e160f8bacbf4a017bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,398,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,188,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,398,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x824e…265abacked Yes | 13c | 226,257$30,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,184.55 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 38c | 43,287$16,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,670.85 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fa…16cbbacked Yes | 32c | 36,809$11,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,727.92 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcce…3e55backed Yes | 15c | 33,673$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,920 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 12cpaid | +724.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…a348backed Yes | 19c | 31,506$5,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,908.18 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…8ea1backed Yes | 27c | 26,472$7,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,220.72 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +447.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…3b6fbacked Yes | 39c | 25,658$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5e…7f28backed Yes | 74c | 25,219$18,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,550.51 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3a…e2abbacked Yes | 31c | 22,764$6,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,986.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +641.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…45d5backed Yes | 38c | 22,251$8,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,430.99 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes | 52c | 20,785$10,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,719.67 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 26c | 20,167$5,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,342.75 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…d84abacked Yes | 9c | 19,321$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +301.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…b6f7backed Yes | 24c | 18,660$4,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,540.08 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa563…d023backed Yes | 74c | 15,348$11,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,382.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +491.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…f1a6backed Yes | 11c | 14,528$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 76c | 11,976$9,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,120.71 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Yes | 21c | 11,178$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.06 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 10,804$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.72 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438d…8ef2backed Yes | 6c | 10,500$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +415.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 30c | 10,416$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,332.92 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed Yes | 28c | 10,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.39 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4f…d11fbacked Yes | 65c | 9,387$6,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,065.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 55c | 9,276$5,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110.28 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f866backed Yes | 35c | 9,136$3,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,169.29 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 45c | 8,884$4,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,028.94 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…a2d2backed Yes | 7c | 8,214$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.73 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 31c | 8,153$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.45 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0783…dd27backed Yes | 62c | 6,758$4,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,178.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…caa9backed Yes | 28c | 6,646$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.79 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832f…ef80backed Yes | 28c | 6,616$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.08 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 30c | 6,593$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.93 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…5353backed Yes | 25c | 6,461$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.29 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 1c | 6,389$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe238…27b3backed Yes | 66c | 6,208$4,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.28 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…5d25backed Yes | 14c | 6,078$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8bacbacked Yes | 63c | 6,039$3,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,804.95 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ff…01d0backed Yes | 6c | 6,000$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…8002backed Yes | 5c | 5,999$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…5d44backed Yes | 36c | 5,880$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.89 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…4b10backed Yes | 23c | 5,696$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.84 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 47c | 5,674$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688.3 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 53c | 5,329$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.73 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473a…c2febacked Yes | 65c | 5,300$3,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,442.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc663…4aa8backed Yes | 68c | 5,072$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55bd…fbddbacked Yes | 4c | 4,770$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +476.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…5553backed Yes | 63c | 4,647$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,931.79 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 27c | 4,600$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.99 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…e1e3backed Yes | 2c | 4,005$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…3bbdbacked No | 6c | 4,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 72c | 3,866$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.97 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…33c4backed Yes | 29c | 3,782$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x543a…f2cfbacked Yes | 21c | 3,739$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.46 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Yes | 5c | 3,700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +428.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Yes | 27c | 3,406$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.82 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 65c | 3,271$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.66 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e2…6e12backed Yes | 76c | 3,190$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…b36cbacked Yes | 77c | 3,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 63cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…6bfcbacked Yes | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba6…e84cbacked Yes | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +192.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53cf…7d67backed Yes | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…3622backed Yes | 3c | 2,862$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked No | 52c | 2,860$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.61 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +391.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6028…10eebacked Yes | 26c | 2,773$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.87 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…71bcbacked Yes | 19c | 2,636$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 26c | 2,608$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.97 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…f3b6backed Yes | 32c | 2,555$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.12 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…dc66backed Yes | 18c | 2,517$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.91 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…dcf1backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +337.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yes | 41c | 2,453$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.73 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…0af8backed Yes | 19c | 2,365$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 8cpaid | +312.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…9558backed Yes | 30c | 2,298$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.23 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 9c | 2,294$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.46 | 129 | 20.9%27 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…d639backed Yes | 10c | 2,255$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1a…c549backed No | 10c | 2,101$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +228.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe852…0235backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…b7cabacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 5cpaid | +207.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Yes | 17c | 1,964$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.24 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 30c | 1,946$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.33 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 74c | 1,920$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.25 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…5c16backed Yes | 69c | 1,883$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed Yes | 32c | 1,866$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.93 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 23c | 1,827$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.18 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e79…b2d0backed Yes | 46c | 1,801$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.54 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 21c | 1,774$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.74 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dc…3dcabacked Yes | 74c | 1,764$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe145…62ecbacked Yes | 42c | 1,752$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73de…c416backed Yes | 19c | 1,747$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.36 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 38c | 1,737$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc009…8ceebacked Yes | 3c | 1,704$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…08ffbacked Yes | 17c | 1,702$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.64 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed No | 72c | 1,700$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.36per pick | 28cpaid | +292.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed Yes | 30c | 1,697$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.98 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 1,680$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.59 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbb…b5f9backed Yes | 55c | 1,680$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd725…c6b5backed Yes | 18c | 1,676$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7908…b249backed Yes | 57c | 1,590$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…9c76backed Yes | 38c | 1,585$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.78 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?this page
- Will Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jun-seok win between 2% and 5% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes won
- Will Lee Jun-seok win less than 2% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.