World Politics · resolved market
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeb647fdf84101019b915355e56168e6f629e2399763b2c32f86ce63476d8252
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 50c | 9,227$4,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,574.27 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 9c | 7,508$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed No | 14c | 5,964$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.26 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 13c | 4,841$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.26 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a1…f1d6backed Yes | 78c | 4,322$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f9…e37dbacked Yes | 75c | 3,444$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed Yes | 38c | 3,079$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.39 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 38c | 2,851$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.54 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d12…543bbacked Yes | 70c | 2,523$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 25c | 2,443$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.13 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 19c | 2,442$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.73 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…3df7backed Yes | 49c | 2,247$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 27c | 1,860$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.8 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…9ee2backed Yes | 52c | 1,748$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.17 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed Yes | 71c | 1,725$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Yes | 80c | 1,720$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes | 63c | 1,587$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef0…f55dbacked No | 27c | 1,500$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +471.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 38c | 1,410$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.06 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5898…5028backed Yes | 61c | 1,391$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.54 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e79…b2d0backed Yes | 64c | 1,274$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd6…10d4backed Yes | 64c | 1,250$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 11c | 961.06$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 64c | 951.16$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.02 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 68c | 948.65$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.03 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 39c | 908$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.12 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 35c | 906.18$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.26 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedee…f2b4backed Yes | 45c | 844.78$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.56 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed Yes | 72c | 829.01$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.09 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 14c | 699.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 11c | 665$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.53 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed No | 48c | 620.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 535$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.37 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 15c | 530.49$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x826e…2bebbacked Yes | 65c | 501.18$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ab…9aa1backed No | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 43c | 487.71$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.07 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 14c | 476.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…5d41backed Yes | 66c | 452.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 13c | 446$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed47…5d79backed Yes | 78c | 434.09$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 5c | 411.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 23c | 396$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 31c | 394$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.82 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d1…9ad4backed Yes | 62c | 387.74$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 18c | 384$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…f7f9backed Yes | 55c | 360$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…2c0ebacked No | 50c | 356.75$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…ae5fbacked No | 6c | 350$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 26c | 339.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes | 49c | 334.66$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 12c | 324.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ab…3d8bbacked No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d0…4427backed Yes | 37c | 299.83$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.22 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b5…16bfbacked Yes | 48c | 288.3$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.13 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Yes | 63c | 262.49$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 6c | 260.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 78c | 246$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1b…6ed7backed Yes | 75c | 245.12$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…4aacbacked Yes | 59c | 242.57$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 57c | 236.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 61c | 230.89$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.63 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 37c | 227.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.77 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 24c | 221.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 19c | 214.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.25 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…40afbacked Yes | 65c | 201.22$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4072…c225backed No | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafc1…31bebacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 30c | 199.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 54c | 190.58$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.57 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 30c | 189.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 29c | 185$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Yes | 65c | 180$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…4d52backed Yes | 44c | 179.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 20c | 177.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…d223backed No | 23c | 165.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 23c | 163.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 15c | 163.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 15c | 149.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6655…12e9backed No | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 11c | 143.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 52c | 140.23$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x123f…5143backed Yes | 76c | 130.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +190.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326a…4fa0backed Yes | 76c | 129.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec43…885abacked No | 63c | 127.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…38d9backed Yes | 39c | 127.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed No | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…b051backed Yes | 41c | 118.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 15c | 115$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x432e…cc4fbacked Yes | 79c | 113.21$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 17c | 113.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 31c | 109.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed Yes | 46c | 107.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?this page
- Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?No won
- Will Kim Jong-hoon win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?No won
- Will Park Maeng-woo win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.