World Politics · resolved market
Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7441be9aee85e1c6d85961ca75a9439c0c377f721069e0a93db018cd0220fc14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Yes | 18c | 10,464$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.34 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 12c | 8,823$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 54c | 5,104$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.68 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec43…885abacked Yes | 45c | 4,869$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…2c0ebacked Yes | 37c | 3,844$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a7a2backed Yes | 9c | 2,800$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 61c | 2,499$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.23 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 78c | 2,414$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.24 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…ab2ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,174$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +197.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed No | 68c | 1,794$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 61c | 1,588$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.05 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Yes | 26c | 1,565$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…1ba4backed Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 19c | 1,250$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.94 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…71eebacked Yes | 50c | 1,037$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.13 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ab…3d8bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,016$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef0…f55dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +471.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9063…3cc8backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 56c | 990.49$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.24 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 988.07$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.01 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 69c | 900$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f2…5bbebacked Yes | 8c | 779.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Yes | 13c | 773.17$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 71c | 749.99$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.56 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed No | 49c | 717.88$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.71 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 67c | 685.81$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.41 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 59c | 646$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.37 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 58c | 625$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.95 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222d…1712backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…fd17backed Yes | 12c | 574.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e1…9017backed Yes | 31c | 516.76$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…d809backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked No | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…9ee2backed No | 46c | 495.95$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4e…f455backed Yes | 79c | 493.95$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d0…4427backed Yes | 28c | 473.56$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 62c | 450$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.54 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 55c | 413.85$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.62 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…4ef3backed Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 28c | 360.37$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Yes | 15c | 351.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a7…f4d9backed Yes | 43c | 346$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +253.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 9c | 343.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 75c | 340.41$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5df…9075backed Yes | 50c | 300.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597b…9ea8backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed Yes | 49c | 288.09$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked Yes | 31c | 256.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…d223backed No | 39c | 251.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.68 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 77c | 250.01$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…90a2backed Yes | 34c | 241.64$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe042…2498backed Yes | 41c | 241.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked Yes | 49c | 229$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 221.92$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.53 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked No | 54c | 217.42$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 69c | 215.68$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 69c | 204.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 7c | 203.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 74c | 180.79$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…9249backed Yes | 6c | 179.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Yes | 59c | 170.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f9…e37dbacked No | 79c | 155.1$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…3de9backed Yes | 38c | 153.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked Yes | 45c | 153.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 47c | 153$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…147fbacked Yes | 21c | 152.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…6bfcbacked Yes | 59c | 152.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked No | 60c | 151.09$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc08d…1e00backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…e1e3backed Yes | 14c | 144.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…2088backed Yes | 10c | 140.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e8…b63fbacked Yes | 44c | 139.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 34c | 134$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc42…dcbabacked Yes | 10c | 129.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +507.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Yes | 35c | 114.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 62c | 111.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…3df2backed Yes | 46c | 109.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 71c | 109.13$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 70c | 107.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 107.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed No | 46c | 107.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a0…b560backed Yes | 68c | 102.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…26edbacked No | 73c | 101.85$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…bbfbbacked Yes | 24c | 101.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…742dbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc281…e079backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3806…d265backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…6271backed Yes | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ab…8a17backed Yes | 40c | 99.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…856bbacked Yes | 21c | 92.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 51c | 89.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 46c | 81.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…fc45backed Yes | 27c | 80.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?this page
- Will Kim Jong-hoon win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?No won
- Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?Yes won
- Will Park Maeng-woo win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.