Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbfaa9a2e85ae596a6392c4738eb81cca7d5684814ead102698d9feaf12e06d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 56c | 1,259$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.71 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,180$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.74 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Yes | 33c | 343.68$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 46c | 265.87$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.78 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 56c | 239.27$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 50c | 238$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 36c | 237.43$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 51c | 230.82$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.08 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 52c | 179.38$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 48c | 171$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 44c | 162.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 35c | 160.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 41c | 158.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 30c | 157.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…a5f2backed Yes | 76c | 141.31$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 60c | 140.31$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 73c | 136.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 40c | 134.06$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 61c | 125$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf760…09e0backed Yes | 20c | 123.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 28c | 122.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.53 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…a235backed Yes | 39c | 114.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 35c | 110.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 29c | 107.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 41c | 100.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 40c | 94.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 61c | 93.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 42c | 86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 80.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 56c | 76.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 45c | 69.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…3ef1backed No | 76c | 65.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 63c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 52c | 62.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…65d5backed No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 43c | 58.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 47c | 54.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 59c | 54.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 42c | 51.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 61c | 50.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 43c | 49.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…a9d2backed No | 36c | 47.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 292 | 19.5%57 W · 235 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 22c | 47.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a71…f680backed Yes | 61c | 42.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 50c | 41.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 70c | 39.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4da…cf3bbacked No | 73c | 38.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 37c | 37.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 66c | 37.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 48c | 37.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb5…de0cbacked Yes | 28c | 36.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 52c | 36.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 51c | 35.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 61c | 35.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 34c | 33.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…860ebacked No | 44c | 31.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 47c | 31.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 56c | 30.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796a…e815backed Yes | 41c | 29.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa921…f0eabacked No | 54c | 27.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 93 | 62.4%58 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…6294backed No | 43c | 27.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 42c | 27.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…e862backed No | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…2d32backed No | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 64c | 25.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 49c | 25.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…864cbacked No | 67c | 24.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…09f2backed No | 73c | 23.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 58c | 22.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…a323backed No | 62c | 22.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 72c | 21.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 70c | 21.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 58c | 20.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 68c | 18.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7d…fd73backed No | 62c | 16.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf90…62b9backed No | 67c | 15.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06f7…53e0backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.