Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa703bfffdee0c1f4736594fd4f63a57a08ec8c43c9438f0eef75884f71ea6302
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 65c | 1,326$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.59 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 27c | 1,006$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.13 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked No | 28c | 924.07$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.9 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 61c | 907.12$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.31 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…5490backed No | 39c | 627.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.82 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 36c | 555.4$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.14 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 48c | 422.15$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.51 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 41c | 386.52$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.88 | 523 | 22.6%118 W · 405 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 80c | 349.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.71 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed No | 78c | 270.84$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.59 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 54c | 267.8$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.45 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 238$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.22 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 72c | 230.82$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.18 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 17c | 210.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 18c | 181.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 24c | 175.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.52 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…7d37backed No | 67c | 169.34$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 24c | 162.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.95 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 70c | 158.52$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 33c | 151.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 31c | 149.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 68c | 145.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 37c | 141.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eaa…3561backed Yes | 34c | 140$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 78c | 131.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 116.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 39c | 116.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 42c | 111.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 25c | 105.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 76c | 105$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…b251backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 33c | 99.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…4aeebacked Yes | 32c | 99.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +239.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 63c | 92.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 31c | 92.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 37c | 91.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 17c | 88.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 67c | 86.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 32c | 85.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 49c | 85.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 71c | 80.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 13c | 79.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 67c | 78.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 69c | 77.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 69c | 77.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…7ca4backed Yes | 66c | 75.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 52c | 70.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 74c | 68.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 41c | 65.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 44c | 65.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 20c | 63.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 23c | 62.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 59.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…05ebbacked Yes | 22c | 59.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 24c | 59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…9379backed No | 69c | 58.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…860ebacked Yes | 27c | 55.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 75c | 55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…a5f2backed Yes | 72c | 52.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 76c | 51.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd7…8622backed No | 66c | 51.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 177 | 66.7%118 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 44c | 50.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 69c | 50.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 28c | 47.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 23c | 45.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 51c | 41.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…f8c6backed Yes | 27c | 39.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…ecd4backed Yes | 69c | 39.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 53c | 37.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 75c | 35.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…2e9fbacked Yes | 40c | 35.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 69c | 33.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 69c | 32.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d45…020fbacked Yes | 33c | 31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 77c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 62c | 27.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…e862backed No | 69c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 70c | 25.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…2d32backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 77c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb040…ef71backed No | 70c | 14.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…c205backed Yes | 77c | 14.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 213 | 61%130 W · 83 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 77c | 14.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.