NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Jets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf81fbea8ae3618655d70580de52a354cc5eb524a609d8b2d52ce369ee0964d32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $293,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 288,427$140,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,808.66 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 51c | 150,000$76,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,500 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 52c | 29,079$15,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,121.16 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 29,000$14,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,930 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 51c | 18,888$9,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,632.88 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 51c | 17,092$8,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,717 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 51c | 10,302$5,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,254.07 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 52c | 7,000$3,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,620 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 2,313$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 1,100$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 970$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.7 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 46c | 798.14$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.99 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…ea4abacked Under | 54c | 605.24$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.47 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 53c | 501.29$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.8 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 468$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.34 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 52c | 444$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Under | 45c | 443.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 53c | 369.24$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.43 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9389…b332backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd80…eb96backed Under | 54c | 208.43$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 52c | 200.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 199.61$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.79 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 52c | 172.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 55c | 147.29$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 52c | 142$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Under | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 118.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Under | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 56c | 103.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…eff9backed Under | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 52c | 79.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -13.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 71c | 67.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…896dbacked Over | 50c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 51c | 66.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 64.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Under | 53c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Over | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Over | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 32.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Over | 48c | 30.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 54c | 27.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 54c | 27.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 285 | 50.2%143 W · 142 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 48c | 23.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 128 | 26.6%34 W · 94 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 53c | 19.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Jets: O/U 6.5this page
- Oilers vs. JetsOilers won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.