AI · resolved market
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ac3d32c765a92cffb8c9907e0591e7a000a8b8631c4fe67cbd9ae31a53c502b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $378,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $378,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 551 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 2c | 16,229$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.67 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 27c | 7,262$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,275.32 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 17c | 4,634$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.16 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 3,390$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 62c | 3,166$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.44 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 73c | 3,118$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…af5abacked Yes | 18c | 2,604$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +441.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd4…c0febacked No | 4c | 2,528$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 22c | 2,204$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.57 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 2c | 2,088$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…95e1backed Yes | 25c | 1,974$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed Yes | 21c | 1,940$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 75c | 1,924$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.11 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b0…b26bbacked No | 78c | 1,923$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x636c…ea28backed Yes | 22c | 1,892$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…f315backed Yes | 20c | 1,800$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 76c | 1,658$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.92 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,576$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.13 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…a48fbacked No | 80c | 1,540$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,463$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…3734backed No | 77c | 1,455$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Yes | 24c | 1,416$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3f…feebbacked No | 78c | 1,400$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…4a8ebacked No | 79c | 1,380$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked No | 76c | 1,332$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…2d87backed No | 75c | 1,323$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…7572backed Yes | 15c | 1,318$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed No | 79c | 1,287$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.66 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed Yes | 20c | 1,254$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.96 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed No | 77c | 1,240$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…0c87backed No | 76c | 1,238$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked No | 76c | 1,201$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed No | 75c | 1,200$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Yes | 12c | 1,194$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 23c | 1,157$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0af…7ec6backed No | 74c | 1,146$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed No | 79c | 1,141$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.39 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…8ab8backed Yes | 25c | 1,135$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 1,124$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed No | 59c | 1,112$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed No | 78c | 1,059$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…9a1fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,027$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3f67backed No | 66c | 1,026$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…8234backed No | 53c | 1,024$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,003$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.62 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed No | 76c | 999$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…a3a2backed Yes | 25c | 967$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…6741backed No | 75c | 964$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7c…5a5fbacked Yes | 37c | 937$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 32cpaid | +164.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed Yes | 16c | 931$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…7807backed No | 58c | 925.2$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked Yes | 25c | 922$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed Yes | 16c | 921$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…696fbacked No | 79c | 919$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…d6f1backed No | 70c | 908$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…a29ebacked Yes | 20c | 901$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d5…3a73backed Yes | 16c | 901$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 33cpaid | +243.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 16c | 898$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.32 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…e8e9backed Yes | 16c | 896$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 895.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked Yes | 14c | 892.03$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.1 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…09e0backed No | 75c | 870$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 58cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x234a…cbffbacked No | 80c | 860$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…5856backed Yes | 30c | 839$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 19c | 838$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed Yes | 29c | 837$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed Yes | 24c | 836$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…26fdbacked Yes | 21c | 832$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +84%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…e86dbacked No | 66c | 829$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed Yes | 16c | 829$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.56 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…ec87backed Yes | 41c | 825$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked Yes | 20c | 810$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…7ddcbacked Yes | 21c | 805$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb6…5ea0backed Yes | 21c | 804$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked No | 80c | 799$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked Yes | 25c | 798$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.5 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed Yes | 16c | 793$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed Yes | 21c | 786$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.94 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5374…952abacked No | 78c | 786$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 20c | 776$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.34 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed No | 75c | 775$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf5…3e16backed Yes | 47c | 767.18$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…f562backed No | 79c | 767$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…415ebacked No | 62c | 766$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…be04backed Yes | 39c | 765$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…0ec6backed Yes | 19c | 763.86$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…0f8fbacked Yes | 19c | 763$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 19c | 755$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd19a…5b88backed Yes | 24c | 745$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…e7d3backed No | 75c | 745$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…669dbacked Yes | 20c | 744$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…dbd4backed Yes | 36c | 740$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked No | 74c | 738$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 75c | 737$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.75 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…26e0backed Yes | 47c | 737$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d09…42b7backed Yes | 15c | 730$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +103%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes | 20c | 727$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3adcbacked Yes | 18c | 727$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +191.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes | 24c | 721$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…2867backed Yes | 39c | 718$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.