Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic: Xinyu Wang vs Francesca Jones
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa668c319bf851a99be01bc57e284c2c2caba547f1b26dd93d872c065632ad76f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wangof Wang, Jones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jones | 11c | 24,577$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.59 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28f…d25ebacked Jones | 14c | 10,889$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Jones | 16c | 8,404$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.48 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -9.5wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4f…3e14backed Wang | 73c | 7,096$5,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jones | 27c | 4,444$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.88 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Wang | 69c | 3,018$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.02 | 765 | 46.8%358 W · 407 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jones | 11c | 2,850$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.82 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Jones | 9c | 2,479$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.52 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf214…5caabacked Jones | 31c | 2,184$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jones | 20c | 2,145$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.08 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…84f1backed Jones | 14c | 2,100$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Jones | 7c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Wang | 72c | 1,558$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.14 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jones | 6c | 1,472$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Jones | 1c | 1,443$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Wang | 72c | 1,384$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.75 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…85b5backed Jones | 19c | 1,223$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.77 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Jones | 35c | 1,111$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.29 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed Jones | 14c | 861.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wang | 69c | 781.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.42 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…9802backed Jones | 21c | 725.14$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Jones | 31c | 647.94$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.86 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Jones | 28c | 609.06$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.54 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Jones | 15c | 601.69$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Jones | 21c | 485$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Wang | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 1,187 | 62.8%746 W · 441 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…f30bbacked Jones | 31c | 403.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Jones | 16c | 396.12$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Jones | 13c | 344.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 671 | 31.3%210 W · 461 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Jones | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wang | 70c | 323.35$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.69 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked Wang | 65c | 317.11$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Wang | 78c | 312.84$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…1abdbacked Jones | 13c | 296.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jones | 14c | 277.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d20…6568backed Jones | 10c | 235$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5d…526fbacked Jones | 15c | 223.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Jones | 25c | 203.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Jones | 30c | 199.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Wang | 75c | 192.58$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 308 | 45.5%140 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Jones | 9c | 181.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Jones | 31c | 175$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce63…e79cbacked Wang | 72c | 148.71$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Wang | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Wang | 70c | 135.95$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Jones | 25c | 126$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Wang | 70c | 121.51$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Jones | 17c | 115.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…ef81backed Jones | 14c | 110.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd082…a332backed Jones | 31c | 109.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Jones | 27c | 108.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Jones | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Jones | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Jones | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaae…be70backed Wang | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…36e8backed Jones | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…891bbacked Jones | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e2…9ff7backed Jones | 27c | 65.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…70e3backed Wang | 64c | 62.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Jones | 37c | 59.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Jones | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Wang | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba07…1c15backed Jones | 28c | 48.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Wang | 69c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Wang | 72c | 40.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jones | 36c | 39.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wang | 65c | 35.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wang | 65c | 35.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…2065backed Jones | 31c | 35.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Wang | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Wang | 63c | 25.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Wang | 71c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic: Xinyu Wang vs Francesca Jonesthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Wang vs JonesWang won
- Wang vs. Jones: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Wang vs. Jones: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.