Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Duke Blue Devils vs. Louisville Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x903abf54a6d15a9eb8af564494e49c62f4b8d37c45f354ecd5314d241e0b95b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duke Blue Devilsof Duke Blue Devils, Louisville Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $535,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $580,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $535,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 168,544$84,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,836.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 67,529$34,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,931.98 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 61,335$30,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,667.35 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 43,358$22,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,519.39 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 21,003$10,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,501.5 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 18,000$9,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,089.99 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…3026backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 16,000$7,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,840 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 13,989$6,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,856 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Louisville Cardinals | 69c | 11,197$7,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,710.56 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Louisville Cardinals | 37c | 11,165$4,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,087.97 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 9,956$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,956.25 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 9,133$4,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,475.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 8,453$4,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,134.97 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 7,488$3,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,594.16 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 6,715$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.42 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 6,500$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.99 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 6,064$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 5,841$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.57 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 5,736$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.61 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 5,475$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.38 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Duke Blue Devils | 27c | 5,220$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.3 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 5,032$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.85 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Duke Blue Devils | 45c | 3,874$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.46 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 3,846$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.77 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Louisville Cardinals | 71c | 3,046$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.57 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0090…05eabacked Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 2,501$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.67 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.97 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Louisville Cardinals | 53c | 2,490$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.86 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 2,283$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.13 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 2,210$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Louisville Cardinals | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Louisville Cardinals | 58c | 1,922$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.62 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Duke Blue Devils | 28c | 1,864$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.56 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 1,844$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.54 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Duke Blue Devils | 37c | 1,753$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.49 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 1,568$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.14 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…c0bebacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 1,443$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.99 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 1,308$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.69 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Louisville Cardinals | 46c | 1,250$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.5 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 1,210$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 1,178$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.41 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 72c | 1,120$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.4 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Louisville Cardinals | 39c | 1,036$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 999.98$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.97 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Duke Blue Devils | 32c | 914.39$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.22 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Duke Blue Devils | 31c | 897.39$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.32 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 883.2$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.77 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 773.43$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.99 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Duke Blue Devils | 64c | 670.31$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.48 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Louisville Cardinals | 39c | 647.74$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.87 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ee…5cf0backed Duke Blue Devils | 42c | 644.49$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.3 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 638.11$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.67 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.35per pick | 43cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Duke Blue Devils | 48c | 591.83$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.86 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Duke Blue Devils | 48c | 580.95$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Duke Blue Devils | 29c | 573.05$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.68 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27bf…fa14backed Louisville Cardinals | 3c | 558.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 555$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 520.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.63 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 499.96$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.98 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Duke Blue Devils | 53c | 494.59$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.72 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Duke Blue Devils | 29c | 489.01$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.36 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41eb…da1dbacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 465.1$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +180.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 422.16$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.09 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Duke Blue Devils | 58c | 421.15$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.32 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Duke Blue Devils | 79c | 401.15$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.69 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Duke Blue Devils | 40c | 392$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.22 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f8…ec5fbacked Duke Blue Devils | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x941a…3fe7backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 372.23$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Duke Blue Devils | 30c | 370.03$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Louisville Cardinals | 67c | 367.9$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.38 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Louisville Cardinals | 66c | 363.96$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.21 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Duke Blue Devils | 44c | 340.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.46 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc35…c471backed Duke Blue Devils | 48c | 332.63$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Duke Blue Devils | 44c | 329.54$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.1 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 276.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 275$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.75 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Duke Blue Devils | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3984backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…657ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 31c | 250$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 248.45$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.74 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Duke Blue Devils vs. Louisville Cardinalsthis page
- Duke Blue Devils vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 161.5Under won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-1.5)Duke Blue Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.