Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic, Qualification: Dalibor Svrcina vs Hamad Medjedovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c9dcac7f6130c1bc94be476faac745318f1de7f00ef6d14ab7b7d4888d0c721
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medjedovicof Svrcina, Medjedovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Svrcina | 5c | 7,368$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.65 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Svrcina | 43c | 940$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.2 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Medjedovic | 57c | 940$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.2 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Svrcina | 8c | 817.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Svrcina | 42c | 663.14$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Svrcina | 8c | 494.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Svrcina | 38c | 465.2$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.53 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Medjedovic | 58c | 414$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…8c1ebacked Medjedovic | 73c | 354.38$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 184 | 60.3%111 W · 73 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Svrcina | 25c | 346.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Svrcina | 30c | 263.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Svrcina | 50c | 214.37$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Medjedovic | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Svrcina | 23c | 146.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Svrcina | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Svrcina | 31c | 123.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Svrcina | 16c | 109.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Svrcina | 45c | 100.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Medjedovic | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Svrcina | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Svrcina | 43c | 81.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Medjedovic | 59c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Svrcina | 21c | 68.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Svrcina | 33c | 47.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Medjedovic | 63c | 42.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Svrcina | 44c | 41.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 646 | 37.2%240 W · 406 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…891bbacked Svrcina | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Medjedovic | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…223fbacked Medjedovic | 62c | 32.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Medjedovic | 61c | 32.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.