Lol · resolved market

LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO1)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82b12a1daaaec341201154e74842a63c13c518003040c9535da5ad18851f8bf2

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: LOSof LOS, Vivo Keyd Stars
Resolved: Jan 17, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $29,762
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $34,101

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,762 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9671…3a70backed Vivo Keyd Stars	1c	5,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	284	4.6%13 W · 271 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e6e…1c1ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars	0c	4,407$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Vivo Keyd Stars	78c	2,142$1,671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,670.68	416	44.2%184 W · 232 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked LOS	54c	1,988$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$907.83	217	40.1%87 W · 130 L	-12.7wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed LOS	22c	1,559$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,217.32	460	33.9%156 W · 304 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+22%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2de…6e5cbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	38c	1,052$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	105	60%63 W · 42 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed LOS	30c	1,022$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$714.13	83	31.3%26 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Vivo Keyd Stars	77c	929.21$713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$713.06	488	42.4%207 W · 281 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed LOS	23c	900$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$693	1,157	56.1%649 W · 508 L	+27.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8df0…96a6backed LOS	58c	865.38$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.63	107	61.7%66 W · 41 L	+8.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+11%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Vivo Keyd Stars	43c	689.14$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.04	2,406	42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L	+21.5wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x703a…391bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	77c	651.51$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed LOS	23c	616.35$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.59	127	59.8%76 W · 51 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	25c	599.99$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1,470	13.1%192 W · 1,278 L	-114.8wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Vivo Keyd Stars	47c	532.33$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	207	56%116 W · 91 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ff…b00abacked Vivo Keyd Stars	69c	520.81$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.84	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-3.4wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Vivo Keyd Stars	6c	400$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	299	27.8%83 W · 216 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-23%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked LOS	53c	399.99$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Vivo Keyd Stars	59c	338.72$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	743	44%327 W · 416 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae6…7acabacked Vivo Keyd Stars	60c	334$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.4	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed LOS	55c	283.45$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.71	456	18.9%86 W · 370 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked LOS	26c	282.16$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.23	306	32%98 W · 208 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d8…b398backed LOS	22c	247.32$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.32	80	50%40 W · 40 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…fba6backed Vivo Keyd Stars	77c	194.81$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars	72c	179.53$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.93	1,231	48.2%593 W · 638 L	+25.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4429…efc2backed LOS	75c	170.47$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.77	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed LOS	46c	166.32$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.53	540	54.3%293 W · 247 L	+26.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22c6…4574backed LOS	60c	159.58$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.3	217	56.7%123 W · 94 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed LOS	34c	149.34$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.67	697	56.5%394 W · 303 L	+26.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Vivo Keyd Stars	67c	149.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	190	42.1%80 W · 110 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Vivo Keyd Stars	68c	147.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Vivo Keyd Stars	75c	145.15$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.63	131	37.4%49 W · 82 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	69c	144.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	151	41.7%63 W · 88 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed Vivo Keyd Stars	79c	141.58$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.47	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed LOS	26c	139.97$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.58	316	43%136 W · 180 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Vivo Keyd Stars	74c	135.95$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…60afbacked LOS	75c	133.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	397	47.9%190 W · 207 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Vivo Keyd Stars	74c	127.03$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	102	52%53 W · 49 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Vivo Keyd Stars	50c	120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	306	61.1%187 W · 119 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…7693backed LOS	22c	120$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.6	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+6.7wins	+0.18per pick	28cpaid	+52.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc176…35dcbacked LOS	58c	118.31$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.69	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked LOS	21c	118.25$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.42	315	35.6%112 W · 203 L	+15.3wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked LOS	21c	116.44$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.99	771	31.8%245 W · 526 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Vivo Keyd Stars	75c	106.73$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.99	397	50.1%199 W · 198 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x618d…68e2backed LOS	80c	105$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	65cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Vivo Keyd Stars	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	941	34.5%325 W · 616 L	+33.6wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x790e…1640backed Vivo Keyd Stars	48c	93.09$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	67cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed LOS	22c	92.29$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.12	898	10.7%96 W · 802 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec53…d7e2backed Vivo Keyd Stars	72c	83.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+49.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked LOS	24c	83.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.5	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+3.8wins	+0.11per pick	38cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars	78c	80$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	148	46.6%69 W · 79 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed LOS	41c	73.27$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.27	101	36.6%37 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	15c	72.88$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.02	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	79c	63.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	192	44.3%85 W · 107 L	-8.9wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed LOS	30c	61$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	694	41.4%287 W · 407 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e1…5b84backed LOS	22c	60$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.8	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+166.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9987…fa43backed Vivo Keyd Stars	78c	60$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.4wins	-0.71per pick	71cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f38…4ddbbacked LOS	57c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	-16.5wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37b9…b9f1backed Vivo Keyd Stars	78c	50$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked LOS	22c	50$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	276	32.6%90 W · 186 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bd…fde5backed Vivo Keyd Stars	78c	50$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.78per pick	78cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x473b…a5a0backed LOS	22c	50$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3b47…cb0bbacked LOS	22c	50$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc90…1dc6backed Vivo Keyd Stars	22c	49.4$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.91	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b1…4bc4backed Vivo Keyd Stars	29c	44.7$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.11	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+188.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	43c	36.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.34	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked LOS	50c	33.33$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.51	850	46%391 W · 459 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6478…548fbacked LOS	78c	31.86$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.86	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Vivo Keyd Stars	75c	30.28$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.71	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Vivo Keyd Stars	71c	30.12$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.37	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe566…4943backed Vivo Keyd Stars	78c	30$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96ad…f107backed Vivo Keyd Stars	79c	25.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.41per pick	74cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Vivo Keyd Stars	80c	25.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,232	58.1%716 W · 516 L	+44.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed LOS	57c	22.54$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.59	199	46.7%93 W · 106 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee45…46e7backed Vivo Keyd Stars	79c	21.52$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	76cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked LOS	52c	21.39$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.2	171	32.2%55 W · 116 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Vivo Keyd Stars	79c	19.47$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.38	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	-7.0wins	-0.18per pick	76cpaid	-24%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x84b6…4a66backed Vivo Keyd Stars	80c	18.83$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	76cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3b…f7c2backed Vivo Keyd Stars	79c	18.7$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.73	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked Vivo Keyd Stars	73c	17.35$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.67	185	40.5%75 W · 110 L	-14.6wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Vivo Keyd Stars	80c	14.1$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	159	45.3%72 W · 87 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…891bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	80c	12.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+70.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO1)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market