NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Rockets

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ec8aba4da6ff2d822375826e5b26a77ad44475880806e3911208676c8b27189

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Rocketsof Grizzlies, Rockets
Resolved: Jan 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,617,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,607,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,617,390 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 860 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Grizzlies	19c	262,485$49,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,872.09	210	57.1%120 W · 90 L	+20.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Grizzlies	19c	215,740$41,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,102.96	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Grizzlies	20c	144,450$28,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,545.55	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Grizzlies	33c	50,000$16,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,499.97	90	43.3%39 W · 51 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets	79c	42,319$33,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,861.2	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Grizzlies	19c	35,011$6,652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,652.09	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Grizzlies	20c	35,000$7,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,000	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rockets	67c	25,800$17,358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,442.46	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Grizzlies	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Rockets	79c	20,000$15,791 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,208.88	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Grizzlies	51c	19,562$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Grizzlies	19c	15,500$2,945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,945	158	41.1%65 W · 93 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Grizzlies	20c	15,100$3,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,020	287	42.9%123 W · 164 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Rockets	80c	15,000$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	285	54%154 W · 131 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Rockets	67c	15,000$10,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,949.94	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies	0c	14,855$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.58	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Rockets	62c	14,612$9,114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,497.88	147	51%75 W · 72 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Grizzlies	21c	13,500$2,835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,835	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Grizzlies	35c	12,691$4,401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,401.42	152	50.7%77 W · 75 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Grizzlies	15c	12,611$1,924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,923.99	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets	66c	12,491$8,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,191.46	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eee…0a68backed Grizzlies	30c	12,452$3,682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,681.95	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Rockets	80c	11,942$9,554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,388.4	237	47.7%113 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Grizzlies	21c	11,905$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	248	31.9%79 W · 169 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb78…5206backed Grizzlies	34c	11,410$3,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,835.99	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets	76c	10,886$8,319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,567.22	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Grizzlies	21c	10,476$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	489	38.7%189 W · 300 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies	0c	10,150$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Grizzlies	0c	10,150$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Grizzlies	0c	10,094$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.74	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Grizzlies	20c	10,000$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,949.99	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa98…b8f7backed Grizzlies	20c	9,915$1,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,983	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+5.7wins	+0.22per pick	32cpaid	+54.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Rockets	80c	9,195$7,351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,844.07	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Rockets	67c	7,951$5,358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,592.83	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Rockets	80c	7,559$6,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,511.78	257	53.7%138 W · 119 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Rockets	63c	7,500$4,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,799.98	181	51.4%93 W · 88 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f70…9f21backed Rockets	69c	6,984$4,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,197.93	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+24%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Grizzlies	18c	6,667$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.99	724	50.7%367 W · 357 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Grizzlies	33c	6,314$2,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,077.91	113	44.2%50 W · 63 L	-6.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Grizzlies	21c	6,157$1,303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,302.52	164	40.9%67 W · 97 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Grizzlies	21c	6,000$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Grizzlies	17c	5,902$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	380	46.6%177 W · 203 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies	13c	5,689$758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$757.75	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Grizzlies	20c	5,500$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22c6…50c6backed Grizzlies	1c	5,361$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Rockets	78c	5,342$4,144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,197.42	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Grizzlies	19c	5,263$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets	69c	5,208$3,574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,633.99	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies	21c	5,050$1,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060.5	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Grizzlies	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	337	35.3%119 W · 218 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Rockets	80c	5,000$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	202	49.5%100 W · 102 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Rockets	53c	4,748$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,248.38	224	58.9%132 W · 92 L	+10.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Grizzlies	28c	4,572$1,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,263.61	385	40.3%155 W · 230 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Grizzlies	20c	4,500$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Grizzlies	19c	4,400$826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$826	618	35.4%219 W · 399 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Grizzlies	20c	4,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	400	41.5%166 W · 234 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Rockets	67c	4,000$2,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,320	397	44.3%176 W · 221 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Rockets	71c	3,850$2,717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,133.04	301	57.1%172 W · 129 L	+14.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Rockets	49c	3,776$1,862 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,914.53	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Grizzlies	22c	3,699$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$809.63	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Rockets	80c	3,470$2,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$698.58	399	58.4%233 W · 166 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Grizzlies	28c	3,357$938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$938.48	469	40.3%189 W · 280 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e04…0fa9backed Rockets	80c	3,298$2,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.61	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.14per pick	35cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Grizzlies	8c	3,090$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.89	508	38.2%194 W · 314 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Rockets	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Grizzlies	1c	2,657$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.57	250	16.8%42 W · 208 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Rockets	79c	2,610$2,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$548.07	199	58.3%116 W · 83 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Rockets	66c	2,600$1,716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$884	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Grizzlies	27c	2,583$691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690.87	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets	79c	2,551$2,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.4	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x792b…146abacked Grizzlies	20c	2,500$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	233	43.3%101 W · 132 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Grizzlies	20c	2,500$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	75	36%27 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked Grizzlies	1c	2,499$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Grizzlies	33c	2,389$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked Grizzlies	21c	2,381$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac87…88c7backed Grizzlies	36c	2,200$782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$782	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe2…7edcbacked Rockets	64c	2,200$1,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782	43	65.1%28 W · 15 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x816b…d69dbacked Rockets	70c	2,106$1,479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$627.07	247	52.6%130 W · 117 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockets	69c	2,096$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$655.63	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Grizzlies	32c	2,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	379	44.3%168 W · 211 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Grizzlies	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	211	39.8%84 W · 127 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Grizzlies	20c	2,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	502	39%196 W · 306 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3873…c068backed Rockets	53c	2,000$1,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$943.99	145	37.9%55 W · 90 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies	11c	1,995$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.98	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Grizzlies	16c	1,903$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	266	40.2%107 W · 159 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Grizzlies	31c	1,900$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590	251	46.2%116 W · 135 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83e1…b37bbacked Grizzlies	32c	1,877$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	165	50.3%83 W · 82 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7555…49d2backed Rockets	55c	1,815$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$814.7	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rockets	66c	1,796$1,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$619.3	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rockets	75c	1,745$1,311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.18	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Grizzlies	33c	1,663$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.79	109	52.3%57 W · 52 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0154…793bbacked Grizzlies	14c	1,620$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.42	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d5…173dbacked Rockets	65c	1,532$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.11	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ada…fb3fbacked Grizzlies	16c	1,524$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.77	66	39.4%26 W · 40 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf312…eee8backed Grizzlies	44c	1,503$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$661.32	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Grizzlies	20c	1,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	315	38.1%120 W · 195 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Grizzlies	19c	1,500$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	432	47.5%205 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rockets	67c	1,491$999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.08	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb94…243cbacked Grizzlies	34c	1,471$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dbc…0f5cbacked Grizzlies	7c	1,444$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-19%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Grizzlies vs. Rocketsthis page
Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Under won
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 19.5No won
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Jock Landale: Points O/U 12.5No won
Santi Aldama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Grizzlies won
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Grizzlies won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Grizzlies vs. Rockets

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event