NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-10.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28c9a1ba8a7dbf69bb15e0b318d815d9a4de0973767e2ec4256655ae9481cc05

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Grizzliesof Rockets, Grizzlies
Resolved: Jan 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $93,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $95,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,731 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7760…21f0backed Grizzlies	51c	23,517$11,909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,608.17	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets	50c	15,736$7,943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,942.75	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Grizzlies	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,200	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rockets	52c	8,709$4,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,528.43	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb194…7ac3backed Grizzlies	51c	8,416$4,292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,123.69	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4cb…4d21backed Grizzlies	52c	8,036$4,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,857.21	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+3.4wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Rockets	48c	6,767$3,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,248.15	132	39.4%52 W · 80 L	-8.7wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Rockets	48c	6,150$2,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,952	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b9…12e4backed Rockets	48c	5,084$2,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,440.27	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Grizzlies	52c	4,808$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,307.69	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets	48c	3,612$1,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,736.04	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rockets	50c	3,435$1,717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,717.39	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Rockets	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bcf…dff4backed Rockets	48c	2,952$1,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,416.94	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Grizzlies	50c	2,586$1,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,292.82	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets	41c	2,378$973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.03	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a5…f0a8backed Rockets	48c	2,163$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,031.2	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-3.7wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Grizzlies	47c	2,128$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,127.66	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Grizzlies	52c	2,100$1,092 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,008	220	55%121 W · 99 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets	50c	2,042$1,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,014.14	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Grizzlies	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.78	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rockets	51c	1,716$875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$875.12	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies	50c	1,498$746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$751.93	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Grizzlies	50c	1,429$714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$714.25	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Rockets	52c	1,250$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Grizzlies	48c	1,250$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Grizzlies	49c	1,161$565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.55	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Rockets	52c	1,058$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	120	51.7%62 W · 58 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets	52c	1,005$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.79	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Rockets	48c	962.4$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.95	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Rockets	62c	807.58$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.18	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rockets	48c	779.95$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.27	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Grizzlies	50c	732.75$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.75	259	51.4%133 W · 126 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Grizzlies	49c	702.21$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.13	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies	35c	653$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$424.45	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Rockets	49c	606.69$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.28	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.0wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Grizzlies	50c	595.22$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.22	656	49.2%323 W · 333 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Grizzlies	39c	512$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.32	353	26.6%94 W · 259 L	+21.9wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+31%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Grizzlies	52c	480.77$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.77	172	41.9%72 W · 100 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Grizzlies	58c	466.93$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.68	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Grizzlies	68c	418.22$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.76	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Rockets	48c	416.05$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	169	45.6%77 W · 92 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Rockets	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Grizzlies	48c	400$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Rockets	49c	392.07$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.12	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Rockets	52c	390.52$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.8	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Grizzlies	53c	377.36$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.36	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Rockets	52c	337$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.24	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Rockets	50c	320$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	522	40%209 W · 313 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Grizzlies	56c	319.38$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.23	311	44.4%138 W · 173 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Rockets	65c	255$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.6	489	57.5%281 W · 208 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Rockets	48c	240.6$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.49	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Rockets	49c	232.69$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.02	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Grizzlies	71c	209$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.4	308	40.9%126 W · 182 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Grizzlies	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	631	42%265 W · 366 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Rockets	48c	207.29$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.5	82	32.9%27 W · 55 L	-15.2wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Grizzlies	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	153	36.6%56 W · 97 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Rockets	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	98	33.7%33 W · 65 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Grizzlies	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Grizzlies	48c	199.99$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	528	44.7%236 W · 292 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Grizzlies	50c	193.3$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.3	366	49.5%181 W · 185 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies	56c	185.13$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.1	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Grizzlies	49c	183.99$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.26	1,109	41.8%464 W · 645 L	-20.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Rockets	48c	181.75$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.24	226	43.8%99 W · 127 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Grizzlies	51c	180$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.2	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Rockets	52c	172.69$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.8	384	64.3%247 W · 137 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets	45c	166.01$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.8	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rockets	49c	150.67$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.83	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Grizzlies	47c	148.94$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.94	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Rockets	49c	122.38$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.46	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Grizzlies	52c	120.96$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.06	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Grizzlies	48c	118.75$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.75	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies	49c	117.58$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.87	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02f1…6109backed Rockets	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies	49c	105.89$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1257…793fbacked Rockets	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Rockets	49c	104$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.48	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Grizzlies	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	661	53.3%352 W · 309 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Grizzlies	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Grizzlies	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	86	59.3%51 W · 35 L	+6.4wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfccd…b1afbacked Grizzlies	34c	100$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+4.0wins	+0.17per pick	22cpaid	+57.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Grizzlies	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	175	45.7%80 W · 95 L	-9.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2984…57c8backed Rockets	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Rockets	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc708…4ebcbacked Grizzlies	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ba…f09dbacked Grizzlies	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	144	56.9%82 W · 62 L	+7.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+17%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3beb…77d1backed Grizzlies	52c	96$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.08	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Grizzlies	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	364	53%193 W · 171 L	-17.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Rockets	53c	93.51$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	159	53.5%85 W · 74 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Grizzlies	49c	90$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.9	126	45.2%57 W · 69 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Grizzlies	76c	88.91$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.76	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies	60c	88.75$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.76	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Rockets	48c	85.5$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.04	219	37%81 W · 138 L	-15.9wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Rockets	53c	81.13$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Grizzlies	50c	80.22$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.22	184	56%103 W · 81 L	+16.3wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Grizzlies	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	226	46.9%106 W · 120 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Grizzlies	52c	76.92$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.92	213	52.1%111 W · 102 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Rockets	51c	75.36$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.79	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Rockets	50c	75.35$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.03	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40a1…d943backed Grizzlies	53c	71.7$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.7	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Rockets (-10.5)this page
Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Grizzlies vs. RocketsRockets won
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Under won
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 19.5No won
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Jock Landale: Points O/U 12.5No won
Santi Aldama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Grizzlies won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Rockets (-10.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event