NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9460a5f8e172e4b8e77443f1dc4cce494c4bbaa2bbcb89f55a0ad4618523acc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Flames, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $846,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $846,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $846,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Flames | 44c | 500,000$220,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219,999.81 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef1…3713backed Bruins | 56c | 319,555$178,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,606.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Bruins | 56c | 227,273$127,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flames | 45c | 70,000$31,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,500 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Bruins | 55c | 43,941$24,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,773.31 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Flames | 44c | 35,530$15,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,633 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flames | 44c | 25,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bruins | 56c | 20,258$11,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,913.57 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bruins | 55c | 17,500$9,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,874.96 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Bruins | 56c | 13,054$7,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,743.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flames | 18c | 10,576$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.82 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Flames | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Flames | 44c | 9,091$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Bruins | 56c | 8,040$4,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,569.45 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Bruins | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.98 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flames | 0c | 7,228$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flames | 44c | 7,000$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.95 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Flames | 46c | 6,505$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flames | 43c | 6,500$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.72 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…70e4backed Bruins | 56c | 5,700$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Flames | 44c | 5,045$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.15 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bruins | 56c | 5,037$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.41 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Flames | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Flames | 21c | 4,723$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.95 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Flames | 0c | 4,654$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Flames | 0c | 4,321$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Flames | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Bruins | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bruins | 67c | 3,796$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.69 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Flames | 44c | 3,556$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.64 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bruins | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.99 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bruins | 56c | 3,206$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.45 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97af…9bc6backed Bruins | 55c | 2,998$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ce…6d68backed Flames | 45c | 2,599$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Flames | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…3d34backed Flames | 2c | 2,454$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Flames | 44c | 2,222$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.66 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Flames | 45c | 2,195$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.75 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Flames | 44c | 2,162$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.28 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Bruins | 56c | 2,143$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.86 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Bruins | 55c | 2,111$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.95 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Bruins | 58c | 2,065$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.4 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flames | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.8 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Flames | 45c | 1,816$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Bruins | 57c | 1,764$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.97 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Flames | 29c | 1,752$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.94 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Bruins | 56c | 1,700$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Flames | 44c | 1,675$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.09 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked Bruins | 56c | 1,653$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.28 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 24c | 1,630$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.63 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Flames | 44c | 1,540$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.6 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Flames | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Flames | 45c | 1,282$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.86 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Flames | 45c | 1,218$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.16 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bruins | 58c | 1,181$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.21 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Bruins | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Bruins | 56c | 1,094$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.16 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flames | 44c | 1,010$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.23 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bruins | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…335ebacked Bruins | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Bruins | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Flames | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Flames | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Flames | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Bruins | 55c | 967.27$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.27 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flames | 19c | 925.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.36 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Bruins | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Flames | 19c | 802.3$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Flames | 45c | 777.78$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Bruins | 56c | 774.11$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.61 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Flames | 44c | 750.2$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.19 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Bruins | 56c | 719.55$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.41 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Bruins | 57c | 714$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.02 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Flames | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…cfd8backed Flames | 43c | 680.89$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Flames | 45c | 672.58$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.66 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Flames | 44c | 667.11$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.53 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Flames | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…2f37backed Bruins | 57c | 652.28$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Flames | 2c | 612.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e1…d5bcbacked Flames | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…2481backed Bruins | 56c | 600$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bruins | 57c | 582.65$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.48 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Flames | 16c | 560$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.44 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f77…41c3backed Flames | 4c | 557.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Flames | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Flames | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf96…62dcbacked Flames | 45c | 495.64$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.04 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bruins | 57c | 495$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.85 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ca…4490backed Flames | 45c | 481.74$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63f…576ebacked Flames | 45c | 481.49$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flames | 24c | 481.3$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…9800backed Flames | 45c | 476.75$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…9118backed Flames | 45c | 454.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Flames | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Bruins | 56c | 445$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.8 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…ea4abacked Flames | 32c | 436.97$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.48 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Flames | 7c | 431.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Bruins | 57c | 425$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.75 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a63…de95backed Bruins | 57c | 399.98$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Bruinsthis page
- Flames vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flames vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.