NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2044a9bc9a6c2b153c6fdfff0033c147853f711594be3d579478e2f2c864a3c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 58c | 30,165$17,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,468.88 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 42c | 10,481$4,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,078.95 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 42c | 4,743$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.01 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 4,610$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.21 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 3,023$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.89 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 2,270$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.84 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 40c | 1,778$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.19 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 58c | 1,217$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.43 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 44c | 1,100$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 43c | 888$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.16 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 42c | 803$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.74 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Under | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 40c | 520.17$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.49 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 62c | 501.19$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.74 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 62c | 460$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.2 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 38c | 444$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.28 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 42c | 417$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.86 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 56c | 359.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 63c | 245.48$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.49 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 37c | 229.97$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.61 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 213.51$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Under | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 182.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.28 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 54c | 168.52$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 43c | 128.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…896dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Under | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Under | 50c | 88.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 43c | 72.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 42c | 68.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 21c | 57.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 59c | 45.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Under | 43c | 45.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 29c | 41.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 61c | 41.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 40c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Over | 76c | 31.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…ac41backed Over | 56c | 31.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8469…ebcfbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 59c | 20.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 62c | 20.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Over | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5this page
- Flames vs. BruinsBruins won
- Flames vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.