NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e49848d2c0817e55203095113622030fd94f2c5fc8b47d8d31dd5173d042462
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 51c | 36,994$18,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,966.69 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 50c | 18,308$9,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,144.94 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 12,627$6,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.31 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 48c | 9,084$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,723.77 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 49c | 8,541$4,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,355.7 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Under | 50c | 6,396$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,209.96 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 51c | 6,027$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.99 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Under | 49c | 5,942$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.66 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 5,847$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,023.59 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 4,655$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.05 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 49c | 3,764$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.83 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 3,374$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.18 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 3,222$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.91 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 2,235$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.84 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Under | 49c | 1,430$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.3 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 1,270$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.63 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 1,093$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.36 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…9912backed Under | 50c | 1,086$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Under | 49c | 985$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.35 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Under | 49c | 898.27$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 50c | 836.38$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.85 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Under | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Under | 51c | 626.25$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.86 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Under | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 49c | 409$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.59 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b7…fa4bbacked Over | 52c | 392.35$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 357$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.07 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 48c | 346.78$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.47 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 67c | 309.26$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 51c | 287.26$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.92 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd80…eb96backed Under | 50c | 262$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 49c | 202.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…f24abacked Under | 49c | 195.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Under | 51c | 185$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 52c | 153.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.31 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 54c | 129.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 49c | 129$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 47c | 127.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 116.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 49c | 114$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7419…094abacked Under | 49c | 109.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 53c | 109$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Under | 49c | 89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 49c | 89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 62c | 77.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Over | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 51c | 62.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Under | 49c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Under | 49c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 44c | 57.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…48f2backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Over | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 43c | 46.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 128 | 26.6%34 W · 94 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 49c | 40.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 55c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…f55abacked Under | 49c | 36.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 39c | 36.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 162 | 37%60 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 32.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Over | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd071…4198backed Over | 51c | 27.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 56c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Over | 52c | 20.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5this page
- Flames vs. BruinsBruins won
- Flames vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.