Tennis · resolved market
Hobart International: Renata Zarazua vs Hailey Baptiste
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe193294f550620f703f29f0e10479656d5d14bcd1676f279db7234e37729467
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zarazuaof Zarazua, Baptiste
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Baptiste | 41c | 7,991$3,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,266.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zarazua | 59c | 2,797$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.05 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Baptiste | 32c | 1,747$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zarazua | 67c | 1,375$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.68 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Zarazua | 52c | 1,314$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.72 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zarazua | 69c | 1,124$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.26 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baptiste | 57c | 1,104$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.33 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zarazua | 54c | 1,057$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.06 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Baptiste | 48c | 915.96$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.68 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baptiste | 48c | 900.92$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.5 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Zarazua | 54c | 581$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.44 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Baptiste | 49c | 461.22$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.16 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…1da9backed Zarazua | 43c | 400$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Zarazua | 61c | 334.58$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.97 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Zarazua | 68c | 259.83$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…bbccbacked Zarazua | 79c | 253.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Zarazua | 49c | 218.01$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.43 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Baptiste | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Baptiste | 59c | 167.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Zarazua | 76c | 163$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3d…f8c6backed Zarazua | 67c | 142.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Zarazua | 80c | 123.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Zarazua | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Zarazua | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Baptiste | 33c | 85.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…e98fbacked Baptiste | 36c | 80.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Zarazua | 23c | 74.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Zarazua | 63c | 71.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…8323backed Baptiste | 74c | 68.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Baptiste | 24c | 59.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Zarazua | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Zarazua | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…56bebacked Zarazua | 76c | 44.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac0…540abacked Baptiste | 75c | 41.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Zarazua | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…ecb3backed Zarazua | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 77cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Baptiste | 33c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4085…583fbacked Zarazua | 70c | 37.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8844…9507backed Zarazua | 32c | 35.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +213.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…98abbacked Baptiste | 74c | 34.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Baptiste | 34c | 33.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 319 | 48.9%156 W · 163 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Zarazua | 31c | 32.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Zarazua | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f8…8b5bbacked Zarazua | 57c | 29.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9881…3d2bbacked Baptiste | 72c | 27.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 78cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zarazua | 56c | 25.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Zarazua | 68c | 24.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…576bbacked Zarazua | 76c | 24.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 78cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb640…6439backed Zarazua | 79c | 20.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…de5cbacked Baptiste | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed Zarazua | 62c | 18.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.