Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xead5a33fe9e77b1605fa6f2a96619c9a5f7ffa7e4a3d6aec4e2dacd4fe3b5b21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 38c | 1,315$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.69 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 37c | 1,106$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.12 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…892cbacked Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 751$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.38 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 62c | 743.71$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.61 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 63c | 735.67$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 61c | 659.97$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.39 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 33c | 540.77$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.08 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed No | 38c | 479.67$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 39c | 442.61$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +232.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 62c | 419.33$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.33 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 39c | 370.77$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Yes | 62c | 354.84$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 62c | 352.9$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.1 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed No | 39c | 326.69$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 38c | 313.62$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.16 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe307…5644backed Yes | 63c | 304.22$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 38c | 285.13$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.35 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 39c | 278$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 38c | 278$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 62c | 265.78$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 257.44$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.28 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked No | 37c | 244.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 38c | 133.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 36c | 130.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Yes | 62c | 107$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf633…03acbacked Yes | 62c | 96.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…0cd4backed Yes | 63c | 87.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Yes | 62c | 87.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…5886backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 63c | 79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…01e3backed Yes | 62c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2358…8986backed Yes | 71c | 58.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Yes | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad60…8afebacked No | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b76…0fe3backed Yes | 63c | 52.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…6fb8backed No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ea…0d78backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…555dbacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 63c | 47.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +10.9wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0786…ba3bbacked Yes | 62c | 38.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked No | 39c | 38.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…fcadbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…5555backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…bc89backed Yes | 62c | 31.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e3…0ca1backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 29.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…7c0ebacked No | 39c | 27.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330e…c22abacked Yes | 63c | 24.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…7506backed Yes | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 62c | 20.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb1…f87dbacked Yes | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d90…e2c4backed Yes | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.