Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 1-7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60433f19b763ff938f69ac1703aa47fa67a41c0bff33e35b9f85f6e97d73376a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $572,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $557,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $572,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb088…222bbacked No | 0c | 105,071$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…a7ddbacked No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 74c | 41,261$30,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,694.25 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 10c | 28,696$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.38 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…e9f1backed No | 0c | 15,700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff3…6667backed Yes | 67c | 10,705$7,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,496.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…6936backed Yes | 26c | 10,640$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,840 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 63c | 10,000$6,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,741.23 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -95%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 22c | 9,604$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,514.99 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed No | 16c | 7,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4864…03adbacked No | 9c | 6,043$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…305bbacked No | 37c | 6,000$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 46c | 4,719$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.26 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 26c | 4,718$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,512.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 27c | 3,396$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.67 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 31c | 3,049$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.07 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked Yes | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…d136backed No | 26c | 2,874$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.39 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 2,836$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.29 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 27c | 2,427$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 58c | 2,142$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.81 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…1c7abacked Yes | 78c | 2,064$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.47 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 11c | 2,057$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.37 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…1776backed Yes | 67c | 1,969$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.62 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…cf51backed No | 39c | 1,671$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.01 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bf…95d3backed No | 33c | 1,587$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…a7d3backed No | 60c | 1,200$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 77c | 1,062$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.71 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed No | 10c | 1,030$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 7c | 997.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 6c | 900$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked No | 3c | 812.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 18c | 697.48$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.78 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 24c | 636.96$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.96 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x442d…523ebacked No | 10c | 597.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…ae38backed Yes | 79c | 539.99$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c2…84f3backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…0f22backed Yes | 19c | 499.72$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…b41dbacked Yes | 29c | 465.52$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 28c | 455.95$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.29 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…ce44backed Yes | 72c | 431.16$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4c…a95dbacked Yes | 53c | 430$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 26c | 403.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…cbfdbacked Yes | 63c | 400$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f1…2dd9backed Yes | 65c | 385.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.03 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf4…cc11backed No | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd74f…95cdbacked No | 9c | 295.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…cb8bbacked No | 50c | 273.87$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked Yes | 66c | 273$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x632f…0c7dbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 53c | 254.22$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.22 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd79f…2fecbacked Yes | 80c | 250.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed No | 25c | 211.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 48c | 207.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.23 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…874dbacked No | 46c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…feeabacked Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…3706backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c06…dd56backed No | 22c | 190$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…a41abacked No | 78c | 171.8$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.21 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…1d4abacked Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…3f31backed Yes | 62c | 161.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…93c7backed No | 25c | 160.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked Yes | 62c | 159.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…ae9bbacked Yes | 66c | 152.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed No | 9c | 150.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…9117backed Yes | 66c | 150.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed No | 60c | 143.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45c…9cf5backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 39c | 139.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x27a6…f753backed Yes | 58c | 134.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…e018backed No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…49edbacked Yes | 78c | 128.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…25e8backed No | 18c | 112.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…ac24backed No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82e…afb1backed Yes | 15c | 109$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…a465backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b0…35adbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…9721backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b1…413abacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf907…8c26backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5379…a031backed Yes | 74c | 94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd151…0a8abacked Yes | 22c | 91.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +154.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…0e2dbacked No | 65c | 85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5891…a78cbacked Yes | 71c | 74.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b67…1032backed Yes | 71c | 71.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be0…c702backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…9890backed Yes | 21c | 66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f15…35b8backed Yes | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…c893backed Yes | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdd…df61backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…8df5backed Yes | 38c | 55.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…4c2abacked Yes | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…d264backed Yes | 77c | 51.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 1-7?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 December 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 December 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 December 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 December 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 December 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 December 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 December 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 1-7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.