Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50c776903c54f7c4757b0ac0e393470b6eb68bf96471844727116add68571053
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $493,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $459,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 34c | 65,710$22,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,072.09 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 74c | 51,538$38,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,347.06 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 40c | 29,625$11,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,770.3 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked No | 65c | 27,339$17,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,571.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 3c | 23,445$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.08 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cd…77c1backed No | 79c | 15,021$11,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…6936backed Yes | 23c | 14,907$3,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f2…89a3backed Yes | 10c | 14,900$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 48c | 14,026$6,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,795.76 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.96 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -95%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 64c | 9,087$5,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,233.67 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…76afbacked Yes | 52c | 7,159$3,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,722.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…96ddbacked Yes | 1c | 6,411$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.94 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…305bbacked No | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.3 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…5b2bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,744$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…93dcbacked Yes | 5c | 5,287$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.34 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8b…30e4backed Yes | 16c | 4,999$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 4,659$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 19c | 4,477$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.77 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 10c | 4,147$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.29 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf466…fcb4backed Yes | 3c | 3,846$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…2414backed Yes | 51c | 3,758$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4864…03adbacked Yes | 13c | 3,702$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…c7aebacked Yes | 4c | 3,000$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…ae38backed Yes | 28c | 2,930$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d7…2dbfbacked Yes | 0c | 2,492$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…12b3backed Yes | 3c | 2,461$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bf…95d3backed No | 63c | 2,430$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.7 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…c0f2backed Yes | 40c | 2,420$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…d136backed No | 78c | 2,139$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.32 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc9…61fbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,982$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f6…525bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,918$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…d1b7backed Yes | 46c | 1,800$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 29c | 1,778$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Yes | 30c | 1,670$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…4568backed Yes | 15c | 1,600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 27c | 1,513$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.72 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,436$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b14…a94dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,436$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…e2f9backed Yes | 42c | 1,299$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,253$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b65…b8a9backed Yes | 3c | 1,238$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,224$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…6491backed Yes | 5c | 1,219$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…cf51backed No | 73c | 1,197$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.3 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e4…c23fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4b…8d73backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…9186backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…7de2backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…4fccbacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 72c | 999.99$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda3b…d556backed No | 79c | 999.97$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a0…5d11backed Yes | 40c | 983.08$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 2c | 950.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 31c | 783.63$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.94 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Yes | 13c | 780$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 20c | 734.02$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.71 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…5292backed Yes | 14c | 724.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9960…b774backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d68…db93backed Yes | 3c | 709.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…e88ebacked Yes | 13c | 701.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…a7d3backed No | 73c | 700$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad4…7802backed Yes | 3c | 676.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…f9cabacked Yes | 3c | 618.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c2…84f3backed Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 16c | 566.58$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.91 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…ce44backed Yes | 47c | 549.49$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 31c | 548.88$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…e731backed Yes | 9c | 540$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 2c | 512.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…4ed0backed Yes | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28b8backed Yes | 2c | 472.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc616…3eedbacked Yes | 4c | 460$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Yes | 7c | 457.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64df…ab80backed No | 78c | 456$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x442d…523ebacked Yes | 8c | 432.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…89cabacked Yes | 6c | 423$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 52c | 419.26$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.12 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb60e…3574backed Yes | 46c | 414.79$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.94 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed Yes | 56c | 407.86$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.85 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e2…5579backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked No | 75c | 399.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 51c | 392.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.38 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb02c…3766backed Yes | 28c | 354.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…d59dbacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88df…a457backed Yes | 61c | 336$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked Yes | 38c | 333.4$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 48c | 330$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.1 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe541…eadcbacked Yes | 56c | 309.86$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…409cbacked No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6252…495dbacked Yes | 46c | 299.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…b5bfbacked No | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x905a…dff1backed Yes | 35c | 286.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…7994backed No | 70c | 284.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe15e…7d22backed Yes | 33c | 280.03$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 December 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 December 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 December 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 December 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 December 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 December 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 December 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 1-7?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 1-7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.