La Liga · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9c0923f542253e325cdcb8495f0c5078dcda65fae0653fc5c4dd695a3541721
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 63c | 21,866$13,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,018.04 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 8,959$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.02 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 46c | 4,299$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.42 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 3,240$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.59 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 35c | 1,530$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.65 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 41c | 1,119$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 35c | 879.21$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.64 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…08c2backed Over | 73c | 485.92$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 48c | 405$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.29 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 76c | 399.81$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.86 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 45c | 390$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 18c | 379$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 19c | 299.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…8f5ebacked Under | 78c | 298.97$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 29c | 297.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 28c | 276$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 17c | 240.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Under | 74c | 211.65$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 51c | 196.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 19c | 163.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked Over | 65c | 154.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…a5dbbacked Over | 71c | 139.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 138.27$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 28c | 135.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c3…dedebacked Over | 31c | 133.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 48c | 130.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Over | 77c | 130.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49db…f75bbacked Under | 72c | 122$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 18c | 113.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 50c | 107.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 97.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Under | 54c | 91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed Over | 34c | 77.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 65c | 74.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over | 75c | 69.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 37c | 67.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 63c | 66.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 76c | 65.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…f38dbacked Over | 72c | 59.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…6715backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Under | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a53…70a1backed Under | 40c | 42.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 31c | 41.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x857f…96ecbacked Over | 75c | 41.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 29c | 40.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 50c | 35.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 39c | 34.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Under | 40c | 33.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…561abacked Over | 74c | 27.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Over | 45c | 24.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…d61bbacked Over | 74c | 23.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 52c | 22.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…3224backed Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Over | 76c | 21.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…edbabacked Over | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Over | 59c | 20.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.