TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,558
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,153

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,558 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under64c86,880$55,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,673.356566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Over35c16,087$5,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,456.433946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over34c13,494$4,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,901.191,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over34c10,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,60012648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over37c10,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.9830446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over36c7,593$2,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,859.669748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over38c4,784$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,968.7653246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over36c4,202$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,707.792,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c2,320$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.724,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c2,002$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.021,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.9921957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Over34c1,995$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.01771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under63c1,950$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.8664046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over36c1,700$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09223452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96038729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under63c1,269$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.4710245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over35c825$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.256929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over34c800$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52822552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Under41c730.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3211037.3%41 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11012875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over34c420$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.227652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over34c420$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.231751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over34c420$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.221849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c419.22$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.413,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over34c400$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26435054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under62c350.13$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.587250%36 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over34c330$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.817648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over34c330$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.814244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Over47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1591553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19829053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19818152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1981145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4cc…3a42backed Under64c299.83$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under63c256.3$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.475939%23 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over34c250$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16519750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under61c245.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8920054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12242458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12255941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13214950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under63c200$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12516342.3%69 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over34c190$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.411448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over34c180$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.816151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over34c180$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.89649%47 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over34c180$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.843255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over34c170$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.27951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over34c170$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.220652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over34c170$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.211952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over34c170$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.27045.7%32 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over34c170$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.29945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over34c170$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.220250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over34c170$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.211346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over48c156.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.253033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9919652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9919951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9920949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Under54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over37c122.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4535148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.219352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.29247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.221051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.218853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.210351.5%53 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.215250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.229053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.219053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.29343%40 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.215747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under62c114.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2920452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Under62c111.29$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6949447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6619153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Under24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.81540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over59c91.02$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3224047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under39c81.87$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0610039%39 W · 61 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over34c80$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.819553.3%104 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Under40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x816e…2663backed Under46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.61741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecbb…a8c2backed Under63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over34c70$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.212147.9%58 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5715034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Under47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304843.8%21 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.619152.4%100 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.620054.5%109 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.610247.1%48 W · 54 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.619155%105 W · 86 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.621151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.618852.7%99 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.68650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.619751.8%102 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f6…e46cbacked Under23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.82934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.87749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.17573.3%55 W · 20 L+20.9wins+0.28per pick45cpaid+62.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.618551.9%96 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.610045%45 W · 55 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.69551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.65743.9%25 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1985…8cbdbacked Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305455.6%30 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over38c58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9612727.6%35 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over38c57.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.89862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over78c52.77$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.