La Liga · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ab4822ac6dc3300c3da0a9ca60239c190d06bb7b86e597f3582f1a48b803f05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 54c | 755.4$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.26 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 516.71$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.69 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 434.17$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.61 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed No | 55c | 382$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 13c | 254$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked No | 56c | 132$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 56c | 119$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 54c | 88.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd53a…3d5abacked No | 51c | 86.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 55c | 66.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked No | 57c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked No | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Yes | 44c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed No | 56c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Yes | 44c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…cc55backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 55c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Yes | 43c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Yes | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Yes | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Yes | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Yes | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked No | 58c | 23.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4390…e842backed Yes | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.