Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kocaelispor vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x029fe9a05d3e00659b34b52cfbafe8abe71adf05353738bf991344ea4b6e73eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 8c | 1,442$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 67c | 1,152$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.37 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,094$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.05 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 35c | 920$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 792.74$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.56 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 738.99$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.53 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 72c | 677.52$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 28c | 647.21$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 626$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.71 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 27c | 392.63$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 27c | 351.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb3…108ebacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 15c | 297.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 28c | 225$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…4be7backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…6129backed Yes | 27c | 88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Yes | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 74c | 69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Yes | 26c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e74…32c3backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 75c | 53.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 44.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 74c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -7.7wins | -0.23per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 80c | 34.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…77abbacked No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed No | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed No | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…910dbacked No | 77c | 16.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kocaelispor vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Antalyaspor win on 2025-12-19?No won
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-12-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.