Token Launches · resolved market
Octra FDV above $200M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3753efdcc6fdfea9687c90aaa1ffcd957051f5b35356e4e21b9c586f95898395
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0df0…6979backed Yes | 55c | 3,688$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.75 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 56c | 2,227$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 61c | 1,913$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.04 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 43c | 1,248$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.36 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed No | 52c | 965.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe079…e93fbacked Yes | 47c | 950.75$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0baf…409cbacked Yes | 21c | 874.73$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.69 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…bb11backed No | 40c | 757.19$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked No | 42c | 709.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.55 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa9…4baabacked No | 45c | 674.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.84 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…de4cbacked No | 50c | 569.52$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.45 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed No | 49c | 546.46$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.17 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af5…89babacked No | 67c | 527.47$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.18 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 59c | 513.41$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.5 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb200…691dbacked Yes | 23c | 477.39$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c73…44f4backed Yes | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…4549backed No | 56c | 433.9$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 45c | 392.43$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.54 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…bb52backed Yes | 51c | 390.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cd…7f4abacked Yes | 55c | 325.79$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.77 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…be7ebacked Yes | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 57c | 298.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7369…59a1backed Yes | 43c | 271.38$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc973…dbc7backed No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed No | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85cb…6603backed No | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f2…b9aabacked Yes | 44c | 228$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…55b0backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 78c | 192.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad41…a108backed No | 59c | 189.03$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2e…35bfbacked No | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 177.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af7…dee2backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0938…9e26backed No | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…deb1backed Yes | 22c | 153.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5776…b9c4backed Yes | 30c | 145$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc05f…9b56backed No | 70c | 143.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…2ddbbacked No | 71c | 141.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x151d…4497backed No | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae3c…98b7backed No | 75c | 133.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…9dafbacked No | 69c | 130$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4553…4783backed Yes | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 63c | 119.52$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x577b…ad6abacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6aecbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae7…9603backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…8cf3backed Yes | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd186…4db7backed Yes | 12c | 98.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 15c | 97.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6658…654cbacked No | 62c | 93.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked No | 54c | 92.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…2393backed Yes | 60c | 91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 16c | 88.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516c…981ebacked No | 62c | 80.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132d…67ccbacked Yes | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb3…9dc1backed No | 55c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4c…4885backed Yes | 56c | 71.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2796…b4f0backed No | 64c | 64.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ad…596bbacked No | 78c | 64.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5616…64cdbacked Yes | 31c | 63.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bc…1f3abacked Yes | 52c | 59.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 30c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fb…5dd9backed No | 78c | 51.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…0a39backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…5144backed No | 59c | 46.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e70ebacked Yes | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 67cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 60c | 44.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…a48dbacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed No | 33c | 38.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…db07backed No | 60c | 35.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcadc…d802backed Yes | 43c | 35.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -6.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…f7d4backed No | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd76…9fe3backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 68cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…0c73backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85af…e1f3backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…fc7bbacked Yes | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…177bbacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…1e71backed No | 63c | 23.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…aaecbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Octra FDV above $200M one day after launch?this page
- Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
- Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- Octra FDV above $30M one day after launch?No won
- Octra FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.