Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sparta Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06ef1cdf06a117a22d1b59985cfa8ecfa6b1ec593b749c1a4e92d8612ca284a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 1,922$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.61 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 24c | 1,759$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.1 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 9c | 1,181$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 28c | 1,045$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.83 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 927.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 56c | 824.29$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked Over | 57c | 578.95$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 41c | 443.98$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.95 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 21c | 290.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 52c | 248.08$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.30per pick | 49cpaid | +75%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over | 56c | 176.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 62c | 165.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 21c | 126.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 59c | 116.95$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…3f67backed Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 57c | 84.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 22c | 82.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 41c | 76.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 37c | 72.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 59c | 65.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Over | 58c | 63.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Over | 57c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 39c | 43.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 42c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a00abacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 59c | 26.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 2.5this page
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sparta Rotterdam (-1.5)Sparta Rotterdam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.