Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sparta Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xada28e1e0041dd5460dda6a87cdf1b800a6443f7052cd6e7415ff14f21ee6d19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 61c | 11,195$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,799.9 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Over | 55c | 9,072$4,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,082.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 7,368$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700.82 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 3,480$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.61 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 29c | 2,348$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.21 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 18c | 1,171$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.74 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Under | 50c | 1,040$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 63c | 587.3$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.3 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 18c | 444$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 12c | 283$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 66c | 153.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under | 34c | 143.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Under | 16c | 106.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 58c | 88.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 48c | 88.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 48c | 71.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Over | 80c | 46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 47c | 40.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Under | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 79c | 32.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…180bbacked Over | 52c | 29.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…9e9bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 1.5this page
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sparta Rotterdam (-1.5)Sparta Rotterdam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.