Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9937cf5b8cf7adb1352e4e59b72e2091360d45c01f26f5b5dbf56b70f8eb447
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $312,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $339,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 42c | 59,657$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,657.26 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 37,764$12,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,512.38 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 61c | 30,300$18,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,482.7 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…2dfabacked Yes | 18c | 30,010$5,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,608.17 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 17,238$11,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,609.28 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 18c | 8,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,833.33 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 54c | 7,071$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,269.09 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 41c | 6,000$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.74 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x109f…6b8cbacked Yes | 51c | 4,999$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 4,941$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.05 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 43c | 4,066$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.66 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 17c | 3,967$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,292.33 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 3,764$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.39 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.99 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 40c | 2,812$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.03 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 26c | 2,726$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.75 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked Yes | 77c | 2,611$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb802…5bbebacked Yes | 76c | 2,432$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,778$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.66 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes | 80c | 1,631$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.77 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 48c | 1,475$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.34 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f11…837cbacked Yes | 60c | 1,426$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…8ea7backed Yes | 19c | 1,079$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.95 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 35c | 1,004$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.83 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…025bbacked Yes | 18c | 892.06$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 55c | 861.84$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Yes | 64c | 854.01$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.01 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Yes | 71c | 840.12$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 22c | 800$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 76c | 768.72$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.66 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…8129backed Yes | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fa…1780backed No | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 17c | 700$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 41c | 691.71$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.6 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Yes | 38c | 688.35$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.43 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes | 76c | 657.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.96 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 66c | 624$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.63 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 5c | 616.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.13 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 47c | 615.7$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.4 | 255 | 30.2%77 W · 178 L | -22.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…42e0backed Yes | 76c | 506.72$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 76c | 503.1$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.84 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Yes | 49c | 446.08$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.08 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 45c | 420$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.4 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7003…684bbacked Yes | 60c | 416.58$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.24 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 25c | 415.13$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.1 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…93a1backed Yes | 63c | 400.9$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked Yes | 45c | 400$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.78 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 45c | 399.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 17c | 399$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.17 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…9e02backed Yes | 19c | 391.21$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.88 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 29c | 362.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf5…b4f8backed Yes | 42c | 332.78$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 19c | 320.79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.89 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed No | 68c | 320$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.6 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d539backed Yes | 55c | 310.72$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.11 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Yes | 79c | 308.14$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…8f8ebacked Yes | 36c | 307.17$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…139ebacked Yes | 74c | 303.87$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 63c | 293.89$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c545backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…eae7backed Yes | 61c | 273.76$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…997cbacked Yes | 38c | 262.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.63 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…e994backed Yes | 70c | 260.91$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 78c | 251.8$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 17c | 249.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.27 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…d067backed Yes | 66c | 242.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Yes | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Yes | 61c | 229.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…61afbacked Yes | 67c | 222.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…6a54backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.53 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.53 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Yes | 48c | 209.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed Yes | 34c | 205.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.84 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…5249backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…3dafbacked Yes | 79c | 199.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…8571backed Yes | 24c | 198.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…5152backed Yes | 51c | 196.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…2c0dbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 68c | 191.3$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…4d49backed Yes | 34c | 186.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…fdf8backed Yes | 63c | 172.97$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d68…fe74backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 72c | 171$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 18c | 160$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c01…428ebacked Yes | 69c | 155.91$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?No won
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.