Brevis FDV above $500M one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b26da62b368edc9c57f0c2243eabd767a190cb8e94ef49d7ab41c7d7246c610

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $160,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $205,063

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,206 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa77f…e578backed Yes	15c	8,054$1,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,194.7	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cb1…50ffbacked Yes	31c	7,419$2,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,298.4	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked No	68c	5,404$3,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,732.47	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa43f…fc07backed Yes	11c	3,734$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	57	12.3%7 W · 50 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5682…97afbacked No	60c	3,516$2,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,396.17	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad23…47c4backed No	62c	2,579$1,607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$972.12	107	63.6%68 W · 39 L	+11.1wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b52…8aa4backed Yes	37c	2,301$852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$852.19	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeabd…3a01backed Yes	20c	2,110$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.72	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Yes	14c	2,097$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.62	159	41.5%66 W · 93 L	+9.4wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes	42c	1,605$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.11	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.8wins	+0.22per pick	48cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	9c	1,416$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.96	171	2.9%5 W · 166 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x69fd…b2f0backed Yes	13c	1,409$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.17	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb5…d941backed Yes	1c	1,200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-23%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x808f…87b2backed No	77c	1,000$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x877f…7acbbacked Yes	63c	1,000$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb83b…dfbebacked Yes	31c	945.41$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.11	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbfd…57bcbacked Yes	11c	880.54$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked No	60c	833.38$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.38	141	41.8%59 W · 82 L	+8.8wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a97…593dbacked Yes	38c	800$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306	87	28.7%25 W · 62 L	-14.9wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x66f2…de1fbacked Yes	55c	726.81$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.6	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	15c	719.95$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.75	209	4.3%9 W · 200 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	9c	637.75$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.96	237	7.2%17 W · 220 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	14c	614.99$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	357	12.9%46 W · 311 L	-29.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26e3…ba96backed Yes	54c	596.16$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.92	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	19cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92f8…d4acbacked Yes	19c	596$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.49	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	14c	591.89$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.48	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	540$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.54	328	3%10 W · 318 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f3…d38cbacked No	57c	500$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.43	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+51.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6335…ca2bbacked No	64c	466.5$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.46	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked No	55c	457.58$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.73	32	65.6%21 W · 11 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6884…417cbacked Yes	10c	428.6$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	18c	423.56$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.06	349	5.7%20 W · 329 L	-25.3wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed Yes	32c	420$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.1	178	59.6%106 W · 72 L	+18.3wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+21%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf588…72a9backed Yes	53c	400$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	6c	390.6$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.13	119	0.8%1 W · 118 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-85.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9972…85a7backed Yes	20c	384.4$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.6	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	18cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51bc…f7aabacked Yes	27c	359.28$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.93	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	42cpaid	+50.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf16…f61fbacked Yes	60c	315$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.76	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-3.4wins	-0.31per pick	59cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked No	80c	313.21$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.78	99	42.4%42 W · 57 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	7c	300$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.3	75	4%3 W · 72 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b52…0db3backed No	60c	300$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	7c	300$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.1	134	3.7%5 W · 129 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes	16c	288.24$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9c7…d9e8backed Yes	35c	286.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x989c…69f4backed No	73c	265$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.07	75	46.7%35 W · 40 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2048…f572backed No	80c	259.58$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.92	90	46.7%42 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No	79c	250$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	68	36.8%25 W · 43 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	57c	223.16$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.45	463	20.5%95 W · 368 L	-68.1wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x387d…d7cfbacked No	56c	211.45$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.98	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.33per pick	27cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed Yes	58c	200$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.4	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	10c	200$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	233	3.4%8 W · 225 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x296d…70f9backed Yes	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	254	1.6%4 W · 250 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x111b…f904backed Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x807d…76dcbacked Yes	56c	195.98$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.97	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes	7c	188.02$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.42	254	22%56 W · 198 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd221…54fdbacked No	55c	182.55$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.55	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	31cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c42…d00fbacked Yes	18c	174$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.56	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-37%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2758…9d57backed No	60c	165.64$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.64	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+89.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes	17c	162.38$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.3	130	54.6%71 W · 59 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43a9…faebbacked No	79c	161.78$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.6	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	69cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e2…06fbbacked Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No	74c	140.29$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.27	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-9.0wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x72ab…1a3ebacked No	79c	130.63$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	103	70.9%73 W · 30 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	67cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0b…8996backed No	50c	125$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.75	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9940…b140backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ee…3dd8backed Yes	18c	123$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.14	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe222…37fdbacked Yes	21c	119.09$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.1	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+114.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec1d…21b7backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48a6…31efbacked No	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc016…cf73backed Yes	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.3	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x321d…ed56backed No	77c	100$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd585…b1b9backed Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+5.5wins	+0.20per pick	27cpaid	+456.1%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x5957…3faabacked Yes	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-3.5wins	-0.27per pick	42cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0373…1628backed Yes	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddf…98b8backed No	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.84	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+116.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x778c…bdd9backed Yes	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6573…ab02backed Yes	42c	99.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes	20c	98.21$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec38…b180backed Yes	15c	98.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd627…f511backed Yes	52c	96.74$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	61cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aa5…0920backed Yes	24c	94.01$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.34	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7912…0ae3backed Yes	18c	94$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0f…2fccbacked Yes	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.32per pick	61cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x631c…450fbacked Yes	32c	92.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c40…f5aebacked Yes	58c	86.51$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	52cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes	13c	86.37$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d1…24ffbacked Yes	26c	80$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d9…a2c6backed No	38c	80$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.44	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8092…b8a2backed Yes	48c	79.1$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.9	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa125…2761backed No	78c	75.84$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.44	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No	60c	74.13$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.91	156	37.2%58 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfab2…9490backed No	56c	73.72$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.26	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08df…06ebbacked No	78c	68$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.82	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e2…c86fbacked No	77c	64.76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.76	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3153…05bcbacked Yes	31c	61.93$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.45	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Yes	21c	60$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.56	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x386f…5fe2backed No	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.95	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa11b…f663backed No	50c	45$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.46	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	70cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb282…54c5backed Yes	45c	44.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Brevis FDV above $500M one day after launch?this page
Brevis FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
Brevis FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
Brevis FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes won
Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes won
Brevis FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes won
Brevis FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
Brevis FDV above $700M one day after launch?No won
Brevis FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Brevis FDV above $500M one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event