TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,508,074
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,490,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,508,074 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 965 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc430…1ebfbacked Under54c255,277$137,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117,427.548932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over51c125,235$63,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,626.6414843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c110,192$55,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,546.484,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under55c107,420$59,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,338.9964446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under65c89,140$57,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,249.562,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Over45c75,000$33,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,749.9917949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Over46c64,595$29,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,713.79747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c50,372$16,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,150.383,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Under55c45,600$25,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,519.9815456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over50c44,532$22,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,195.7636247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Over46c43,478$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00014727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Over45c36,509$16,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,429.146634.8%23 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over56c34,432$19,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,155.0977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over45c30,000$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,499.9414232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x314a…80f6backed Over47c29,701$13,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,959.56166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-85.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under55c27,058$14,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,176.117447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over41c24,668$10,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,182.481,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over45c24,444$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.814045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over45c24,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,799.9821343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Over45c22,734$10,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,230.0817550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under55c21,516$11,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,682.123,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca5…fd56backed Under49c20,205$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,205.092222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over5c18,069$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.6851514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c15,170$7,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,679.831,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Over45c15,000$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7505263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over45c14,444$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,499.827345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under45c11,139$4,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,149.0842541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under76c10,807$8,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,607.1265948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Over46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6006943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x620c…4baebacked Over45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5002867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Under55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5008349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.9910851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Over57c8,772$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00014734%50 W · 97 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Under54c8,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,679.887653.9%41 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over45c7,985$3,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,593.129633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbda…b8fabacked Over45c7,960$3,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5823941%16 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Over60c7,546$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.9921946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over46c6,522$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007859%46 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b61…230ebacked Under44c6,392$2,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,579.3915936.5%58 W · 101 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Over46c6,167$2,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,81316637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over46c6,083$2,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,79811963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over6c6,056$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.534924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over70c6,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2001963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Over67c5,953$3,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9862839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6495…0181backed Under55c5,455$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.5511855.9%66 W · 52 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x63f3…458bbacked Under40c5,317$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Over45c5,189$2,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,334.8824058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under55c5,081$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,281.1720262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Over45c5,060$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.9625844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9222342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over61c4,950$3,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,006.4637242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over45c4,778$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over45c4,729$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120.582,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over33c4,500$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4857823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over45c4,445$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.2514445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Over45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.814348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde45…8597backed Over46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009538.9%37 W · 58 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under55c4,239$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.951,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over46c3,913$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Under54c3,840$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.25543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over67c3,597$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,41035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over33c3,386$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.7974034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over46c3,370$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5507943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Over46c3,285$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50016746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under54c3,240$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.41,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over27c3,169$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.4330054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under60c3,094$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.7775335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68014463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over44c2,992$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.0832656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over46c2,867$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.931,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under49c2,800$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.9913448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Under55c2,730$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.519850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Under32c2,466$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.9124626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over4c2,400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9922813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c2,379$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.754,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Under43c2,324$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.1417443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91a8…b42ebacked Under44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.736160.7%37 W · 24 L+14.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+76.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Over55c2,241$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.524452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8828545.3%129 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Under67c2,197$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.021,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Over46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009148.4%44 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030140.5%122 W · 179 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over46c2,152$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9758029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under55c2,147$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.241,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Under60c2,122$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.6724620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under55c2,102$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.791,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under51c2,097$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.241,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under37c2,041$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.1423857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over46c2,039$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93814620.5%30 W · 116 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2fb…65ddbacked Under62c2,032$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.263658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8250…eebcbacked Under55c2,001$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.453145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd1…8cadbacked Over60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001540%6 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-31.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00016953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9c0…8d4cbacked Over46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9205856.9%33 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9927845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbe…776dbacked Over45c2,000$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.997222.2%16 W · 56 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-40.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.