TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,505
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,505 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over1c4,000$40 inLost-$403,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c1,191$610 inWon+$580.574,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost-$49052455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over49c999.99$490 inLost-$49016139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under51c749.98$382 inWon+$367.4986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c593.2$304 inWon+$289.254,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under51c499.99$255 inWon+$24570648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c333.01$165 inLost-$164.898,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Over49c300$147 inLost-$14720825%52 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under50c244.36$122 inWon+$122.181,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f2…e64ebacked Under52c230.77$120 inWon+$110.7710354.4%56 W · 47 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c202.33$103 inWon+$99.142,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over48c200$95 inLost-$9520651.9%107 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under51c180.99$93 inWon+$88.223,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost-$5051045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39e4…03d4backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost-$503735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost-$5021250.9%108 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f2…1652backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost-$5013037.7%49 W · 81 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c92.08$47 inWon+$44.843,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa34b…9d48backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea4…309abacked Over48c59.99$29 inLost-$28.6862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08a7…3285backed Under53c56.6$30 inWon+$26.63658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under51c51.45$26 inWon+$25.211,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under51c51.13$26 inWon+$25.051,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over48c50.1$24 inLost-$24.056124.6%15 W · 46 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under51c50.03$25 inWon+$24.771,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over48c50$24 inLost-$242,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…1cd3backed Over50c50$25 inLost-$259651%49 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Over49c50$25 inLost-$24.526344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4010…eacfbacked Over45c42.44$19 inLost-$199459.6%56 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38e9…736dbacked Over50c40.1$20 inLost-$2029766.7%198 W · 99 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc8f…006dbacked Over49c34.69$17 inLost-$17666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under52c30$16 inWon+$14.432855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Under51c22.84$12 inWon+$11.1936558.4%213 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.