Fifa International · resolved market
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21bedf40ddd6b95d215e3e9aeb5c6326e633a552ee40dc4ad016ed94db5f586a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 74c | 294.04$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 78c | 280.44$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 25c | 256.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 179.31$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 175.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 174.45$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 21c | 151.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 27c | 127$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 22c | 107.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 23c | 100.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 68c | 96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 91.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 75c | 87.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cf…b515backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 18c | 69.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 73c | 54.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf084…3092backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 72c | 44.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c64…75afbacked Yes | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e6…c62bbacked Yes | 24c | 41.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 75c | 34.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 73c | 33.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 73c | 13.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed No | 75c | 13.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfthis page
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Paraguay (-3.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Türkiye (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Türkiye (-4.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Türkiye (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 0.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.