TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,003
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,698

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,003 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224f…514abacked Over26c8,341$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,151.851,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over28c6,514$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.568,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over21c4,921$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.423,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under56c4,247$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.834,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under72c3,971$2,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.164,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over28c2,702$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.772,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under77c2,010$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.336250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under73c1,598$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.512,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Over26c1,518$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over22c1,114$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.7436437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over27c992.19$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.8964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5fb…6b9cbacked Over18c963.8$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.514362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+42.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over57c960.03$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.831,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2f5…24adbacked Under67c900.27$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.342171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under76c850.13$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.32,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c821.88$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.113,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x806e…2e52backed Under76c789.47$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.479254.3%50 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over53c748.71$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.74,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over31c744.26$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9559453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Over46c736.37$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.733545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d3c…d9b0backed Under54c736.37$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.7311436.8%42 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Over27c624$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4751315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under76c593.29$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.943,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd61f…a873backed Over61c578.28$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503218.8%6 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under72c571.6$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.511,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over52c535$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.5541444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04f6…9ba1backed Over48c519.19$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.212352.2%12 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over26c513.27$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4558029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de6…d677backed Over39c513.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007832.1%25 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over58c510.04$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.881,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Under76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1207241.7%30 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+50.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec52…59e8backed Under80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Under76c493$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.3228042.1%118 W · 162 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under74c491.5$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.091,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over14c464.53$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.452,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe879…750ebacked Under55c453.85$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.331275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over45c443.31$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.371,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over26c365.38$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9529636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c0…4aa3backed Over28c339.82$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.155330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under74c337$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.622,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under74c337$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.622,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over57c318.72$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.311,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf9…33ebbacked Over17c299.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under58c270.26$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6421143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Over52c255.73$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.45653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Under55c245.71$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.712846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa7f…dc59backed Under45c222.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4410425%26 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under73c202.08$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.453,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5212846.1%59 W · 69 L-12.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xedf2…326abacked Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11611749.6%58 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over19c176$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4422560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf58e…a0b0backed Over62c162.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019643.4%85 W · 111 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked Under54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.155350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b3…fed3backed Over21c144.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1431149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Under76c125$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306657.6%38 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Over8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101802.8%5 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x660e…0e69backed Over27c103.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283129%9 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512028.3%34 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Over49c91.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4517045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under76c86.47$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7569744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over13c85.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.152,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over60c83.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaad2…3bb3backed Over26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf15b…000fbacked Under45c73.17$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5911642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd17…3818backed Over49c67.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335360.4%32 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over24c60.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.472,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Over35c57.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.275529.1%16 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92e3…eb51backed Over59c54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8612450%62 W · 62 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce7f…086abacked Over57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefd1…e388backed Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under74c42.93$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.382,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under74c42.73$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1182348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…8da8backed Under72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.677856.4%44 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over57c39.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.41,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under73c36.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.691,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Under74c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8413955.4%77 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under64c29.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5347546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d4e…cf0abacked Under52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8515036%54 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6da…2a10backed Under75c26.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.628056.3%45 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under70c25.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.711,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24a9…c44abacked Under74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.279045.6%41 W · 49 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf784…ab48backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid+48.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2524…6bbabacked Under76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4429…722ebacked Under69c16.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.135143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under74c15.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1254859.5%326 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.