TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,172

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,432 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa1e6…e1c2backed Over80c33,123$26,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,478.234158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under20c14,506$2,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,604.820731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under20c9,832$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,884.071,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Over71c7,362$5,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,257.694341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over58c7,057$4,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,091.872,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c6,667$3,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,364.114,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over80c5,003$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over62c4,910$3,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,053.313,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under21c4,439$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,514.233,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over59c4,319$2,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,569.432,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over51c4,298$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,203.662,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Under26c4,000$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,946.2721850%109 W · 109 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under21c3,095$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,446.1828025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over55c3,018$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.212,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f8b…e3c9backed Over79c2,505$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.3210756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over74c2,319$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.398,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Under24c2,074$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.9435446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under20c1,597$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.33,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under21c1,500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18535424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under20c1,414$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.4158029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under22c1,349$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.147025.7%18 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over72c1,307$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.1629558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over79c964.67$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.252,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under20c960.89$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.321,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under21c817.65$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.9464443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under20c771.8$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.493,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over67c757.27$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.871,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11be…7712backed Over62c743.55$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46122620.4%46 W · 180 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Over25c555.55$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.517241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under20c487.15$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.751,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over75c469$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.0865737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under21c440.96$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.362,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed Over67c430.88$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.1913345.9%61 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under20c400$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32069534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over79c379.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007347.9%35 W · 38 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509168.1%62 W · 29 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5035…cf0dbacked Over45c356.93$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.629629.2%28 W · 68 L-8.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked Over79c341.96$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.15785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under20c340.52$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.4270648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1b8…437cbacked Over79c314.22$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.232958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over79c305$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.134,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9135…8362backed Over80c300.76$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.611154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick70cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18fe…af43backed Over79c300$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2378259.8%49 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x943b…e35ebacked Over10c299.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304825%12 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over76c299.98$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.9920651.9%107 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over47c273.09$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.642,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over62c264.7$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.712,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Over79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20045445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6436…da96backed Over80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008542.4%36 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under41c250$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.510137.6%38 W · 63 L+14.5wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+45.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1688…22b9backed Over78c246.71$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.38771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9a…0cd4backed Over55c239.92$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2811537.4%43 W · 72 L-10.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd5fb…6b9cbacked Over75c235.21$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.514362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+42.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over80c218$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.41,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd41…e14fbacked Under35c217.97$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.717729.9%23 W · 54 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over73c211.18$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.792,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Over79c200$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15839956.6%226 W · 173 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33ef…c498backed Over79c200$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1585851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a1e…0a03backed Over5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10722.8%2 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick9cpaid-96.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Over5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102003%6 W · 194 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7cc…079ebacked Over78c191.23$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.582050%10 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over24c175.87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.572,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8b2a…9ff2backed Under21c166.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over78c163$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7135244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over76c155.79$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.461,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Under67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.259954.5%54 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over51c149$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.981,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over74c135.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4910068%68 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Over9c125.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6214134.8%49 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae6b…0941backed Over79c125.28$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x648e…e2fabacked Over80c125.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Over80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014351.7%74 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Over80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021850.5%110 W · 108 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2082…fdffbacked Over80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005364.2%34 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb57…c85ebacked Under20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+47.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ca8…6ffebacked Over75c122.62$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.441675%12 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over79c122.48$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9716737.7%63 W · 104 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over77c116.14$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.122560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Under52c112.01$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.795253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Over80c109.89$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9127363.4%173 W · 100 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e6…ca32backed Over80c106.25$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under20c105$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8541444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under20c101.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.493,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Under20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8025945.2%117 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8019958.3%116 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x226a…258abacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Under19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8126042.3%110 W · 150 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x703c…6f15backed Under20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over50c98.82$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.415042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Under45c98.72$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2918431.5%58 W · 126 L-19.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8fa4…3854backed Over62c95.16$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Over80c93.19$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5515667.9%106 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4df…25c1backed Over79c75.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604040%16 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa860…b2cfbacked Over68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012847.7%61 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012648.4%61 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce7…896cbacked Over70c70$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493745.9%17 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over63c68$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.841,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.