Fifa International · resolved market
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cc2d6000348269c2529e7b0c7be857472158113b44a3688b8d92bd7a1a88f90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 4c | 9,436$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.22 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 72c | 3,076$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.18 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 8c | 2,538$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.3 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 29c | 1,691$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 11c | 1,317$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.84 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 10c | 1,131$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.25 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 15c | 883.66$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.21 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 9c | 746$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Under | 71c | 672.99$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.17 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 18c | 640.03$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 20c | 546$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 19c | 509.54$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 9c | 493.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 3c | 493.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 9c | 473.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 10c | 465.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Over | 6c | 359.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 11c | 336.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 24c | 318.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 16c | 280$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 74c | 263.29$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1e…0a03backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -96.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Under | 71c | 158.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…9f09backed Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 2.8%5 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Over | 27c | 115.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…46c2backed Over | 11c | 109$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 107 | 27.1%29 W · 78 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Under | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c6…61debacked Over | 21c | 98.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -80%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 71c | 82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 71c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 165 | 56.4%93 W · 72 L | -17.5wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 71c | 17.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Paraguay (-3.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Türkiye (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Türkiye (-4.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Türkiye (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 0.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.