TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,357 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c12,923$4,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,188.534,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under33c5,269$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.513,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under32c5,074$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.922,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c9…5eb1backed Over69c5,067$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.663265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under32c4,939$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.392,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over68c4,603$3,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.9811561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over68c4,227$2,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.178,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Over69c3,932$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.596660.6%40 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under32c3,285$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.3544539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…cfedbacked Over68c2,340$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.491353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over67c2,293$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.312,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under30c1,833$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.877845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under32c1,680$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.981,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under32c1,640$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.573,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d64…3940backed Over68c1,467$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.43467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5de…c4a9backed Over68c1,453$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.959156%51 W · 40 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0c0…5837backed Over69c1,441$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.47167.6%48 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab77…da8bbacked Over69c1,440$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.55236.5%19 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf9d…ee2dbacked Over68c1,436$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.623158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under33c1,259$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.594,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under33c1,139$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.3858029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over67c1,079$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.041,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31039050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31038451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under32c969.09$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.683,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under32c936.7$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.771,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over67c933.48$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.0518449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Over67c899.95$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.9810855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7006…705abacked Over68c889.82$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.74683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a8d…9a21backed Over68c854.42$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.18977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under24c833.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9936437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe103…9526backed Under32c766.55$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.841656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2737955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Over67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2714659.6%87 W · 59 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under34c741$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b5…c594backed Over68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.296645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04a…d7ecbacked Over68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.299145.1%41 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d7c…a9b9backed Over68c514.71$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7119645.9%90 W · 106 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Under31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15510247.1%48 W · 54 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15539951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under31c499.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e59…ff78backed Over67c480$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.48543.5%37 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b8d…6724backed Over67c470$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.19642.7%41 W · 55 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeeb3…51c8backed Over67c460$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.85749.1%28 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x632a…36e0backed Over68c454.54$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.451681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick65cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x59d0…a4f0backed Over68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.182445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-19.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9532…9350backed Over68c439.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.452462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d1d…59d6backed Over68c438.72$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.393647.2%17 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under31c436.34$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2761752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…ad24backed Over68c430$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.66361.9%39 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d93…c671backed Over67c420$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.66245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bf6…50e2backed Over67c409.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.37841%32 W · 46 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a57…4e4ebacked Over68c406.25$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Over75c355.11$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.196861.8%42 W · 26 L+10.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7d1b…ffc0backed Over67c347.71$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.745750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x538e…8f17backed Under33c321.36$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed7b…dc73backed Over67c320$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.65248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over68c317.72$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6710844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under31c317.03$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.723,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdae0…f46ebacked Over68c302.94$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9412124%29 W · 92 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under32c272.4$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.963,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb2b…1e44backed Over67c262.19$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.524228.6%12 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over67c255.22$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2230831.2%96 W · 212 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf87c…3a3abacked Over68c244.91$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.352382.6%19 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over76c225.18$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0446562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x39e4…03d4backed Over67c220.9$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.93735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a8…1138backed Over68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.596227.4%17 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77b8…0650backed Over68c198.53$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.534062.5%25 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under33c186.72$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.952,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over76c158.78$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.111,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c5d…24bbbacked Over67c149.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4913445.5%61 W · 73 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2528258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe7d…f372backed Over68c147.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.163164.5%20 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c147.11$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.083,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3d…34efbacked Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0615360.8%93 W · 60 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cd5…e548backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff6…010ebacked Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-75.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0091…134abacked Over68c145.43$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.541485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71da…d751backed Over68c145.41$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.53837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick63cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0697…6f89backed Over68c132.35$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under33c130$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.96124.6%15 W · 46 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6861…cf22backed Under33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014142.6%60 W · 81 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under32c120$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.41,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7633…4845backed Over68c119.21$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.152450%12 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ca…7e4bbacked Over68c118.09$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0911034.5%38 W · 72 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over68c101.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7422058.2%128 W · 92 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.241,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x939b…076dbacked Over67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under32c99.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3282348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under32c98.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4264443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe683…7f19backed Over68c93.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x893a…36edbacked Over68c88.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.244667.4%31 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75af…3f8dbacked Over68c88.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.244755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under33c82.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.11,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3afd…ccc3backed Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.632842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b45…077ebacked Over68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5313145%59 W · 72 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ff…8cadbacked Over68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.